Chance of Matching?

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Osteoman123

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Hello! I’m a 4th-year DO student getting ready to apply for residency this cycle. I don’t think I’m the strongest applicant, but I’ve tried to tailor my application toward neurology as much as possible.

Stats:
  • COMLEX Level 1: Pass (did not take Step 1)
  • COMLEX Level 2: 498 (did not take Step 2)
  • 3rd-year rotations: all “B’s” (equivalent to 'high pass')
  • Research: 4 total (2 abstracts, 2 poster presentations; none neuro-related)
  • Auditions: 2 neurology rotations lined up, hoping to secure a 3rd
  • Letters: 1 neurology (research mentor), 1 neurology (chair letter), 1 PM&R (professionalism + clinical skills), 1 IM (clinical skills)
Goals:

I want to practice as a community neurologist, though I’m open to fellowship later on. Matching into neurology is my top priority. I plan to use all my signals on "community-based" or "university-affiliated/community-based programs" and will apply broadly. Location doesn’t matter as much, though I’ll apply strategically with the 3 geographic preferences. My current plan is to apply to ~100–120 neurology programs and ~30 transitional year programs.

Questions:
  1. What are my chances of matching?
  2. If I can only submit 3 letters, which would be the strongest combination?
  3. Should I consider dual applying?
  4. Any last-minute application tips?
  5. Any specific programs you’d recommend signaling to, given my profile?
Any advice is appreciate in advance!
 
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