Not sure if this will help you, but I called about a month ago to find out my spot.  They wouldn't tell me exactly but they were able to say top third, middle third, bottom third.  I was on the bottom third, and she said to go ahead and accept elsewhere if I had that option.  I think in the beginning they didn't want to disclose so much information on the waitlist because everyone would be calling.  I think now they are a little bit more relaxed.  Give them a call and see if they will tell you. That will give you a good idea of where you stand and possible chances.