First before I say anything, I do realize the sample size collected so far is relatively small (32), and I don't know about the COMSAE's usual effectiveness for predicting COMLEX scores in past years, nor do I know if they even claim that it is a close predictor. I remember the NBME stated somewhere how close students generally perform on the USMLE in comparison to their exams.
That being said, I'm very confused by this data so far. Small sample size (32) yet you can see that 24 voters, or 75% scored +/- 50 points or more on their COMLEX phase 1 than their average COMSAE. This seems like a huge problem to me because the COMSAE is supposed to be to the COMLEX as the NBME is to the USMLE (right?), and what I mean by that is you should be scoring close to your COMSAE average on the COMLEX (I think).
This is my opinion, but if I were to think the COMSAE accurately predicted COMLEX scores, a majority of people would score somewhere near the +/-25 pts place rather than so far from their COMSAE averages as seen so far in this data. Does anyone know if the COMSAE actually states anywhere how close their practice tests are supposed to predict the COMLEX?