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Proceduralists seem to be in a decent spot because of the need to think fast and use your hands. I have seen some decent AI tools that can predict difficult airways and there’s some cool machine learning studies for post op pain, AKI etc.I’ve worked with some very dumb and dangerous providers in my career with a variety of credentials. I’ve also made my share of embarrassing mistakes myself.
While I agree that the team structure should always include a physician directing mid levels for complex cases, ultimately what I care about is whether you’re sharp and can do the job. I’ve had to can both physicians and CRNAs from my cardiac team.
Personally I think the promise of our AI systems coming online is precisely the democratization of knowledge and targeted clinical decision support that will make a larger number of providers with varied credentials able to make consultant level decisions at the point of care. if it means that we lose our hold on things and more providers are able to function at the level of physicians and our salaries come down… I’m ok with it. I just want patients to be safe.
Internal medicine on the other hand, at the least I think the job will be very different in the future. If you went to med school before the mid 2000s you probably remember having to memorize EVERYTHING because there was no way to look stuff up on the fly, other than a pocket reference. Memory was one of the most valuable traits in students. By the 2010s you could google symptoms or use up to date and now AI tools could probably create better differentials than seasoned clinicians. At the least I imagine the job will just be done differently in the future, hopefully such that there’s less administrative headache and is still satisfying.