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K guys and gals, there has been a bit of discussion about verification and I'm here to show you the data from 2012. I think I have posted all of these graphs before, but I thought it might be a good idea to put them all in one place with my analysis of the data.
So this data was taken from the SDN Official Verification Threads for their respective years and represents the average number of days it takes to be verified. As you can see, there has been an upward trend and it will be interesting to see what happens this year.
The next set of data shows total applications over time and is based off of AMCAS's tweets last year. The interesting part about this data is it shows SDN is not out of the norm. 34% of applications are submitted in June with 55% being submitted by the end of July. From this data one could also try to predict the number of apps submitted on day one, but there are several ways to do this and each predicts wildly different numbers. I would say somewhere between 2500-5000 apps were submitted on June 5th, but there is really no way I can think of to know for sure without AMCAS telling us.
This then sparked the idea that by combining the data, one could determine how many apps are verified per day. This number is subject to how many were submitted on June 5th, but it comes out to be about 300/day with a StDev of 75. There is great fluctuation between how many apps they were verifying each week which created the high StDev. Some weeks would be as low as 200/day and others would be as high as 400/day.... I thought they high StDev could be due to not accounting for weekends, but even when you do that it's still ~420/day +/- 90. The one thing I would note about this is I recall there being a power outage in DC that shut down AMCAS for a few days.
So... What does that mean for this year you ask? Let's just say I'm not going to go there. I posted my predication about when you had to submit to make the June 28th release date and got some backlash so I'm just going to avoid that there. And the reality is, if you submit by mid July, I doubt there will be any difference in your interview invite and acceptance results.
Hopefully we will have the same valuable data from this year that I will be able to add to this post at a later date.
If anyone else has some good data, I would love to see it posted here too!
Also, please don't ask for my excel sheets.... They are a mess. If you want raw numbers, I'm open to sending that if they are easy to pull out, but I'm not going to include anything beyond that. Interpreting other people excel files is often difficult and I don't particularly want to deal with explaining them (especially the data for the first graph).
Also, no need to quote, I'm not going to delete anything and would like to be able to sub different graphs if I find a mistake or something.
So this data was taken from the SDN Official Verification Threads for their respective years and represents the average number of days it takes to be verified. As you can see, there has been an upward trend and it will be interesting to see what happens this year.
The next set of data shows total applications over time and is based off of AMCAS's tweets last year. The interesting part about this data is it shows SDN is not out of the norm. 34% of applications are submitted in June with 55% being submitted by the end of July. From this data one could also try to predict the number of apps submitted on day one, but there are several ways to do this and each predicts wildly different numbers. I would say somewhere between 2500-5000 apps were submitted on June 5th, but there is really no way I can think of to know for sure without AMCAS telling us.
This then sparked the idea that by combining the data, one could determine how many apps are verified per day. This number is subject to how many were submitted on June 5th, but it comes out to be about 300/day with a StDev of 75. There is great fluctuation between how many apps they were verifying each week which created the high StDev. Some weeks would be as low as 200/day and others would be as high as 400/day.... I thought they high StDev could be due to not accounting for weekends, but even when you do that it's still ~420/day +/- 90. The one thing I would note about this is I recall there being a power outage in DC that shut down AMCAS for a few days.
So... What does that mean for this year you ask? Let's just say I'm not going to go there. I posted my predication about when you had to submit to make the June 28th release date and got some backlash so I'm just going to avoid that there. And the reality is, if you submit by mid July, I doubt there will be any difference in your interview invite and acceptance results.
Hopefully we will have the same valuable data from this year that I will be able to add to this post at a later date.
If anyone else has some good data, I would love to see it posted here too!
Also, please don't ask for my excel sheets.... They are a mess. If you want raw numbers, I'm open to sending that if they are easy to pull out, but I'm not going to include anything beyond that. Interpreting other people excel files is often difficult and I don't particularly want to deal with explaining them (especially the data for the first graph).
Also, no need to quote, I'm not going to delete anything and would like to be able to sub different graphs if I find a mistake or something.
