ERAS statistics for 2013

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IMPD

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Latest update is out....

The four-year trend shows what IM PDs are seeing, a large increase in US applications. This is being driven by both increased numbers of applicants (6600, up from 4700 in 2009) as well as increased number of applications (average of 24 vs 17). The multiplier effect means that we're seeing a lot more applications (about double , 4700*17 vs 6600*24).

Historically, we know that about half of the IM applicants are using IM as a safety application, so we're likely to see a modest increase in US grads matching into IM come March. If you could draw a straight-line, it might be 3300, up about 200-300.

IMG applicant numbers are basically steady and they will continue to have a slow decline in total match rate as US kids take more spots. Does not appear to be a sea-change, more like a slowly rising tide.
 
No wonder IM appears to have become a lot more competitive over the past 3 years or so. I am seeing trends where previous "shoe in" categories such as MD/PhDs and amazing board score/clerkship performance applicants aren't even being invited to interview at the top programs. I suspect this will mean that more and more ECs, personal connections, and randomness will help distinguish between applicants, as the essential credentials of academic performance, LORs, and standardized test scores become more and more uniform(ly excellent).
 
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