- Joined
- Apr 16, 2004
- Messages
- 712
- Reaction score
- 12
It's really hard to use the applicants per spot number to make comparisons because there's a good amount of self selection. If I passed everything and had a 200 step one, I'm not very likely to apply for derm (or whatever competitive specialty you want to fill in the blank with), and that'll skew the stats.
Additionally, my understanding is that the applicants/slots statistics are based on each individual's ranking list's first choice (e.g., if a person ranks ENT first and gen surg second, they're viewed as an ENT applicant). This has two effects. First it skews the gen surg stats down (in my example) because people who apply for ENT (or other more competitive specialties) are likely to be more competitive applicants, and they are not included in the gen surg pool. Secondly, people are not going to rank programs where they don't interview, which means that there are probably considerably more applicants for competitive specialties than the statistics represent.
Variations on these theories also apply to Step I averages and other measures. Bottom line: it's really hard to use statistics to quantify how hard it is to get into a residency program.
Additionally, my understanding is that the applicants/slots statistics are based on each individual's ranking list's first choice (e.g., if a person ranks ENT first and gen surg second, they're viewed as an ENT applicant). This has two effects. First it skews the gen surg stats down (in my example) because people who apply for ENT (or other more competitive specialties) are likely to be more competitive applicants, and they are not included in the gen surg pool. Secondly, people are not going to rank programs where they don't interview, which means that there are probably considerably more applicants for competitive specialties than the statistics represent.
Variations on these theories also apply to Step I averages and other measures. Bottom line: it's really hard to use statistics to quantify how hard it is to get into a residency program.