How long does it really take to get verified this time of year

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People who were verified today submitted on August 15th. So right now it looks like the wait time for people who submit today would be about three weeks or less (since the trend has been a decrease in wait time since early August.) Check out the AMCAS verification thread.
 
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Submitted 8/4, Verified 8/27

I would imagine that the wait time would increase, but perhaps I am mistaken.

My best guess: I would say ~4-5 weeks if you submitted now.