I have absolutely no idea where I stand. Are UWSA's good predictors?

[sswang00]

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I have been studying long and hard for weeks now..but I am by no means your average SD member..probably closer to the bottom of the barrel lol
I finished UWorld a few days ago at 64% timed random and have been through FA twice (once with DIT). I haven't taken any NBME's to date because id much rather do questions and learn from my mistakes (doing UWorld questions).


So I decided to take my first practice exam today, UWSA1...and I feel like that test was a complete slap in the face. After doing all of UWorld I would have thought I could figure out at least 70% of the questions..but unfortunately that wasn't the case.

So anyway..I'm just wondering how good of a predictor these self assessments are. I scored a 234 (3digit: 570).
I am shooting for a low 99 (I would be ecstatic with a 240) and I'm 2 weeks from my exam. Im wondering if this test is accurately predicting where Im really at because my percentages on the blocks were pretty low.
block 1: 56%
block2: 66%
block 3: 70%
block 4: 77%

Also, did you guys have similar trends across the blocks? Was I just half asleep in the morning or were the first 2 extra hard?

 

[aashkab]

yo swang, i have a really similar approach to you with same goals (ecstatic with 240, would like to break 235 atleast). i did DIT, FA, goljan, and WORLD.

I took UWSA 1 2 weeks ago and got a 238 (68,68,64,79) and I did UWSA 2 last week and got a 259 (85,85,75,75).

I don't think the UWSA tests are accurate at all in my opinion. I would take an NBME since you have some time. You can reason out a lot of answers still although UWSA 2 had more straight up know it or don't kind of questions. I'm really good at adapting to question styles/interpreting, etc so I think it drastically overestimated my scores.

I took the free nbme 150 and got a predicted 249 on that and people say that overpredicts by like 15 points so....

my advice - take an NBME, uworld seems to have an easy curve plus guesser friendly questions

 

[MilkmanAl]

If you look through the Step 1 Experiences thread, you'll find that the UWSA's tend to approximate scores quite accurately. The newer NBME exams are also pretty good.