I think everyone's prostate numbers are down (from what I've seen/heard). It makes sense - there are a lot of patients who shouldn't be getting screened that are not getting screened, which is good for the general population, but bad for our revenues. I think more so than screening, the more current issue is active surveillance, which people are definitely recommending more often (particularly in academic centers, I don't think it's picked up in the community). The NCCN recommendation that selected women be recommended to be treated with hypofractionation for breast cancer is also directly affecting revenues (16 fx instead of 30-33 fx). Again, for many women, it is definitely the right call, we have good evidence for it. NCCN and ASTRO also push single fraction palliation for bone mets and more and more physicians are recommending it. There are two trials in rectal cancer that show that 25 Gy/5 fx may be as effective as 50.4 Gy/28fx with chemo, especially in those patients with tumors that would be resectable with LAR without downstaging (interesting how those are never mentioned, but we have one sh***y trial to hang our hats on for pancreatic cancer and it's still talked about in tumor boards).
Soo... anyway, these are all good things for patients, but hurts our bottom line, and maybe portends a move towards capitation. I hate that it even comes into our heads, but that's the thing. If there is more treatment/more revenue, it's adopted immediately. If it's less treatment/less revenue, it takes a lot longer to be adopted or it's the standard "with this fractional size, who knows what the late toxicity will be? (even after 10 years of follow up!)"