Certainly post-match stats will clarify this matter, but I get the sense that the number of applications as well as applicants are both up this year.
At my medical school, we went from 4 last year to 10 this year, which now accounts for 10% of our graduating class. I thought this might just be a local phenomenon, but while I was on an EM away rotation back in October there were visiting students (including myself) representing a total of 7 schools, plus students from the home institution, and all were reporting an increase in the number of students going into EM at their institution. The supposed number of EM applicants at several of those schools accounted for approaching and in upwards of 10% of that school's graduating senior class as well.
A few of my oh so polite rejection letters have made reference to the increased number of applicants this year (though they may have just been trying to soften the blow). However, in talking to the PD at my home program on Monday, she mentioned that we had a significant increase in applications over last year and she had heard that some institutions had received up to 100 more applications this year than they are used to.
Finally, our advisory deans here sent out an e-mail yesterday asking us 4th years to send them an e-mail to catch them up on how our application process was going (where we'd applied, who we'd heard from, how many interviews we have, etc.). In the e-mail our Associate Dean of Undergraduate Medical Education took time specifically to reference only one specialty (EM), noting "We are hearing that this year the number of applications to Emergency Medicine programs is very high and this may influence options for students in this field."
I figure if these sort of rumblings are making back to the AD level (especially considering they all recently convened in Seattle for the AAMC Annual Meeting), there has to be some merit to the rumors.
Have you more of guys been hearing the same thing? Any ideas as to why the surge of EM applications this year or are we just experience the normal ebb and flow that any specialty typically experiences? Are the applicants in general stronger or is the field just more saturated? I'm particularly intrigued to hear the opinions of those of you on the other side of this process who might have some insight (attendings, residents, program directors *cough* BKN please weigh in *cough*).