Initial Interview Invite Predictor

[todentornottodent]

I have had quite a lot of time on my hands as I'm waiting for interview invites, so I put together a sheet that averages the initial invite dates over the past 4 years, calculates the standard deviation, and then from that information gives an estimated range of when that specific school will send out their first batch of interviews.

Special thanks to artist2022, I referenced their interview invites tracker to make this sheet. This sheet is of course overkill, and isn't very helpful for this cycle since most schools have sent out their first invites. But it should be helpful for future cycles. The lower the standard deviation, the more confident I am in that date prediction. Last week I made a prediction about Penn's invite based on this sheet, and I was right, so if that adds any reliability there's that! So because of that I added all the dental schools, not just the ones I'm applying to.

I'm in no way a statistician, so this is just meant for people to get a general idea.

Good luck everyone as we wait!

Initial Interview Offers (if you submitted EARLY, like June)		2019​	2020​	2021​	2022​	Average	Standard Deviation	Estimated Range
Alabama
	UAB	16-Jul​	26-Aug​	17-Jul​	13-Jun​	18-Jul​	30​	17-Jun​	to	17-Aug​
Arizona
	ASDOH	1-Aug​	24-Aug​	1-Aug​	19-Jul​	3-Aug​	15​	19-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
	MWU AZ	13-Jun​	4-Aug​	13-Jul​	9-Jul​	10-Jul​	21​	18-Jun​	to	31-Jul​
California
	LLU	3-Sep​	22-Jul​	15-Sep​		23-Aug​	29​	25-Jul​	to	21-Sep​
	USC	14-Aug​	24-Sep​	2-Sep​	5-Sep​	3-Sep​	17​	17-Aug​	to	20-Sep​
	UCLA	2-Aug​	3-Aug​	5-Aug​		3-Aug​	2​	1-Aug​	to	4-Aug​
	UCSF	15-Aug​	16-Sep​	1-Sep​	2-Sep​	31-Aug​	13​	18-Aug​	to	13-Sep​
	UoP	5-Sep​	21-Sep​	25-Aug​	2-Sep​	5-Sep​	11​	25-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	WesternU	11-Aug​	26-Aug​	2-Sep​	31-Aug​	25-Aug​	10​	15-Aug​	to	4-Sep​
	CA Northstate			9-Sep​		9-Sep​		9-Sep​	to	9-Sep​
Colorado
	CU	30-Jul​	10-Sep​	7-Sep​	9-Aug​	21-Aug​	21​	31-Jul​	to	11-Sep​
Connecticut
	UConn	3-Jul​	13-Jul​	30-Jun​	8-Jul​	6-Jul​	6​	30-Jun​	to	11-Jul​
DC
	Howard	8-Oct​	22-Sep​	30-Aug​	4-Sep​	15-Sep​	18​	28-Aug​	to	3-Oct​
Florida
	LECOM	31-Jul​	20-Jul​	14-Jun​	1-Jul​	9-Jul​	21​	18-Jun​	to	29-Jul​
	NOVA	20-Jun​	7-Aug​	22-Jul​	27-Jul​	19-Jul​	21​	28-Jun​	to	8-Aug​
	UF	5-Jul​	1-Sep​	9-Jul​	12-Jul​	22-Jul​	27​	24-Jun​	to	18-Aug​
Georgia
	DCG	10-Jul​	28-Jul​	13-Jul​	9-Aug​	22-Jul​	14​	8-Jul​	to	5-Aug​
Iillinois
	MWU IL	4-Sep​	8-Sep​	15-Sep​	11-Aug​	1-Sep​	15​	17-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	SIU	21-Aug​	16-Sep​	15-Sep​		7-Sep​	15​	23-Aug​	to	21-Sep​
	UIC	30-Aug​	14-Sep​	17-Sep​		10-Sep​	10​	31-Aug​	to	19-Sep​
Indiana
	IU	30-Aug​	7-Oct​	2-Nov​		3-Oct​	32​	31-Aug​	to	4-Nov​
Iowa
	University of Iowa	10-Jun​	10-Jul​	17-Jun​	16-Jun​	20-Jun​	13​	7-Jun​	to	3-Jul​
Kentucky
	University of Kentucky	29-Jul​	21-Aug​	10-Aug​	5-Aug​	8-Aug​	10​	29-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
	University of Louisville	24-Jul​	14-Aug​	11-Aug​	28-Jul​	3-Aug​	10​	24-Jul​	to	14-Aug​
Louisiana
	LSU	15-Jul​	10-Aug​	11-Jul​	5-Jul​	18-Jul​	16​	2-Jul​	to	2-Aug​
Maine
	UNE	12-Aug​	8-Oct​	16-Aug​	17-Aug​	28-Aug​	27​	1-Aug​	to	24-Sep​
Maryland
	UMD/UMB	21-Aug​	14-Sep​	30-Aug​	1-Sep​	1-Sep​	10​	22-Aug​	to	10-Sep​
Massachusetts
	Boston U	2-Aug​	1-Sep​	24-Aug​	31-Aug​	22-Aug​	14​	8-Aug​	to	5-Sep​
	Harvard	10-Sep​	18-Sep​	17-Sep​		15-Sep​	4​	10-Sep​	to	19-Sep​
	Tufts	11-Sep​	24-Sep​	21-Sep​		18-Sep​	7​	11-Sep​	to	25-Sep​
Michigan
	UDM	29-Jul​	5-Aug​	2-Aug​	1-Aug​	1-Aug​	3​	29-Jul​	to	4-Aug​
	UMich	5-Aug​	16-Sep​	10-Sep​		31-Aug​	23​	8-Aug​	to	22-Sep​
Minnesota
	UMinn	20-Jul​	3-Aug​	16-Jul​	17-Aug​	29-Jul​	15​	14-Jul​	to	13-Aug​
Mississipi
	UMMC	20-Aug​	11-Aug​			15-Aug​	6​	9-Aug​	to	21-Aug​
Missouri
	MOSDOH	22-Aug​	16-Aug​	13-Aug​		17-Aug​	5​	12-Aug​	to	21-Aug​
	UMKC	17-Aug​	11-Aug​	19-Aug​	23-Aug​	17-Aug​	5​	12-Aug​	to	22-Aug​
Nebraska
	Creighton	7-Aug​	4-Sep​	12-Aug​	11-Jul​	8-Aug​	23​	16-Jul​	to	31-Aug​
	UNMC	17-Aug​	24-Aug​	19-Jul​	10-Aug​	9-Aug​	16​	25-Jul​	to	25-Aug​
Nevada
	UNLV	22-Jul​	19-Oct​	17-Sep​	16-Aug​	2-Sep​	39​	26-Jul​	to	11-Oct​
New Jersey
	Rutgers	15-Jul​	24-Aug​	13-Aug​	18-Aug​	9-Aug​	18​	23-Jul​	to	27-Aug​
New York
	Columbia	20-Aug​	31-Aug​	21-Aug​	22-Aug​	23-Aug​	5​	18-Aug​	to	28-Aug​
	NYU	5-Sep​	12-Oct​	30-Sep​		25-Sep​	19​	6-Sep​	to	14-Oct​
	Stony Brook	10-Sep​	21-Oct​		26-Aug​	18-Sep​	29​	20-Aug​	to	17-Oct​
	Touro	17-Jul​	27-Aug​	21-Jul​	19-Jul​	28-Jul​	20​	9-Jul​	to	17-Aug​
	SUNY Buffalo	23-Aug​	13-Oct​	20-Aug​		8-Sep​	30​	8-Aug​	to	8-Oct​
North Carolina
	ECU	7-Jul​	15-Aug​	23-Aug​	30-Aug​	11-Aug​	24​	17-Jul​	to	4-Sep​
	UNC	12-Aug​	4-Sep​	9-Sep​	24-Aug​	27-Aug​	12​	15-Aug​	to	9-Sep​
Ohio
	Case Western	29-Jul​	11-Sep​	31-Aug​	8-Sep​	27-Aug​	20​	7-Aug​	to	16-Sep​
	OSU	30-Aug​	12-Nov​	1-Nov​	7-Sep​	5-Oct​	38​	28-Aug​	to	11-Nov​
Oklahoma
	Univeristy of Oklahoma	12-Sep​	16-Sep​	20-Aug​	8-Aug​	29-Aug​	19​	10-Aug​	to	17-Sep​
Oregon
	OHSU	1-Oct​	12-Oct​	1-Oct​		4-Oct​	6​	28-Sep​	to	11-Oct​
Pennsylvania								0-Jan​		0-Jan​
	Temple	22-Aug​	1-Sep​	7-Sep​	9-Sep​	2-Sep​	8​	24-Aug​	to	10-Sep​
	UPenn	16-Aug​	2-Sep​	26-Aug​	8-Sep​	28-Aug​	10​	18-Aug​	to	7-Sep​
	Pitt	14-Aug​	21-Aug​	25-Aug​	7-Sep​	24-Aug​	10​	14-Aug​	to	3-Sep​
South Carolina
	MUSC	22-Aug​	18-Aug​	21-Aug​	9-Aug​	17-Aug​	6​	11-Aug​	to	23-Aug​
Tennessee
	Meharry	27-Sep​	11-Oct​	28-Sep​		2-Oct​	8​	24-Sep​	to	9-Oct​
	UTHSC	24-Jul​	2-Sep​	13-Aug​	4-Aug​	10-Aug​	17​	24-Jul​	to	27-Aug​
	Lincoln Memorial
Texas
	TAMU	31-Jul​	7-Aug​	11-Aug​	18-Jul​	1-Aug​	11​	21-Jul​	to	11-Aug​
	Houston	3-Aug​	18-Aug​	3-Aug​	2-Aug​	6-Aug​	8​	29-Jul​	to	14-Aug​
	UTHSCSA	26-Jul​	31-Aug​	3-Aug​	3-Aug​	8-Aug​	16​	23-Jul​	to	23-Aug​
	El Paso		19-Aug​	12-Aug​	18-Aug​	16-Aug​	4​	12-Aug​	to	20-Aug​
Utah
	Roseman	3-Sep​	5-Nov​	13-Sep​		27-Sep​	34​	24-Aug​	to	31-Oct​
	Univeristy of Utah	5-Sep​	26-Aug​	6-Aug​	8-Aug​	19-Aug​	14​	4-Aug​	to	2-Sep​
Virginia
	VCU	23-Jul​	13-Aug​	16-Aug​	9-Aug​	7-Aug​	11​	27-Jul​	to	18-Aug​
Washington
	UW	3-Sep​	9-Sep​	9-Sep​	30-Aug​	5-Sep​	5​	31-Aug​	to	9-Sep​
West Virginia
	WVU	27-Sep​	18-Sep​	2-Sep​	15-Jul​	31-Aug​	33​	29-Jul​	to	2-Oct​
Wisconsin
	Marquette	11-Sep​	21-Sep​	7-Sep​	2-Sep​	10-Sep​	8​	2-Sep​	to	18-Sep​

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[Ryxndek]

Thanks for taking the time to make this! Will be helpful for those in later admissions cycles to get a general idea of why they should apply as early as possible!