Your RCT's are especially irrelevant when you are comparing them to the real world, where there are six African countries where men are more likely to be HIV+ if they are circumcised? What about the RCT into male-to-female transmission, which showed a 54% higher rate in the circumcised group, or the other study which found that "partner circumcision" was "strongly associated with HIV-1 infection [in women] even when simultaneously controlling for other covariates."
How can you deem this "irrelevant"?
You're right that some men are infected by the operation itself, but if circumcision really provided significant protection against HIV, then there shouldn't be any countries where men are more likely to be HIV+ if they've been circumcised. Remember that medicalized circumcision isn't going to replace traditional tribal circumcision btw. The people that practise that are almost all going to get circumcised their way anyway, and some of them will assume they are immune from AIDS.
Men that are circumcised for religious reasons are likely to have fewer sexual partners btw, so you'd actually expect circumcised men to have lower rates of HIV for behavioural reasons, rather than anything to do with the circumcision itself.
See also
http://www.iasociety.org/Default.aspx?pageId=11&abstractId=2197431
"Conclusions: We find a protective effect of circumcision in only one of the eight countries for which there are nationally-representative HIV seroprevalence data. The results are important in considering the development of circumcision-focused interventions within AIDS prevention programs."
http://apha.confex.com/apha/134am/techprogram/paper_136814.htm
"Results:
No consistent relationship between male circumcision and HIV risk was observed in most countries."
I'm well aware of the studies you're referring to (and they're not blinded btw, as that's sadly not possible). There are good summaries of criticism of them here:
http://www.annfammed.org/cgi/eletters/8/1/64#11574
and here:
http://www.circumcisionandhiv.com/files/mcnotavaccine.pdf
"Rather than complementing ABC programs, promoting circumcision will undermine the ABC approach by diverting funds and encouraging risk compensation behavior, ultimately leading to an increase in HIV infections"
There are some very influential people in the USA looking for any way of fighting AIDS which isn't condoms, and I think they care more about promoting their religious agenda than they do about fighting AIDS. I know there are religious groups on the ground (Catholics included) who are actively promoting condom use, but there are people high up who are totally against this. Until recently, a third of the entire PEPFAR budget had to be spent on abstinence programmes, probably the least effective way of countering AIDS. Male circumcision appeals to Americans anyway, as most American men are circumcised themselves (circumcision used to be common in Canada, the UK, Australia, and New Zealand, but is now quite rare - in mainland Europe, it's almost exclusively a Muslim and Jewish practice).
I'm not the only person questioning the promotion of circumcision btw. The French AIDS council and the South African Medical Association have also spoken out against it.
Consider this, and let me know how it can make any sense:
Rwanda has one doctor for every 50,000 people, and one nurse for every 3,900 people.
The HIV rate in circumcised Rwandan men is 3.5%, but 2.1% in intact men.
Rwanda started a mass circumcision programme last year.
Believe me, if I thought circumcision really worked against AIDS in areas with high rates of HIV (or condoms didn't exist) I'd support it, but the evidence doesn't even come close to suggesting that. The evidence strongly suggests that mass circumcision programmes will make things worse. Remember that 15% of South African adults believe that circumcised men can't get HIV, which suggests the likelihood of massive risk compensation.
ABC works against HIV. Circumcision appears not to. Remember that circumcision won't make any difference unless someone is having unsafe sex with an HIV+ partner. Condoms are vastly more effective against HIV transmission than anything that has ever been claimed for male circumcision.
Female circumcision seems to protect against HIV too btw, but we wouldn't investigate cutting off women's labia, and then start promoting that.