Is universal healthcare inevitable?

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GH253

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My one major hangup about a medical career is the looming threat of universal healthcare. To put it bluntly, I'm utterly, utterly opposed to it, to the degree that I consider its supporters unfit to practice. How likely is it that there will eventually be a government takeover of medicine?
 
Its extremely likely. Every other developed nation in the world has universal health care, and as a result they have lower health care costs, lower infant mortality and higher life expectancy.

How does believing that everyone should have access to health care (even the poor) make you unqualified to practice medicine? If anything, believing the converse should make you a less qualified physician...
 
How does believing that everyone should have access to health care (even the poor) make you unqualified to practice medicine?

It doesn't. It's not the belief that everyone should have access to healthcare, but the corresponding trust in government that makes supporters of universalism unfit to practice medicine. Remember that whoever controls the money makes the rules. The acceptance of uninversal healthcare requires an uncritical attitude toward government regulators and "recognized" mainstream medical authorities within the FDA and academia who seek to determine the standards of practice. A person whose mind capitulates to authority does not know how to think and is not fit to practice medicine. The medical profession is already full of such people and the situation will only get far worse under unversalism.
 
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It doesn't. It's not the belief that everyone should have access to healthcare, but the corresponding trust in government that makes supporters of universalism unfit to practice medicine. Remember that whoever controls the money makes the rules. The acceptance of uninversal healthcare requires an uncritical attitude toward government regulators and "recognized" mainstream medical authorities within the FDA and academia who seek to determine the standards of practice. A person whose mind capitulates to authority does not know how to think and is not fit to practice medicine. The medical profession is already full of such people and the situation will only get far worse under unversalism.

lol okay.

i want to be a doctor to treat patients, not to be all powerful and never capitulate to authority... if you want to be the guy who sets the rules, run for public office.

health insurance should be not-for-profit. the only way to have not for profit health insurance is if its government run
 
lol okay.

i want to be a doctor to treat patients, not to be all powerful and never capitulate to authority... if you want to be the guy who sets the rules, run for public office.

health insurance should be not-for-profit. the only way to have not for profit health insurance is if its government run

Not true. First, there are already nonprofit insurance companies. Second, the government could mandate that all health insurance companies be nonproft, and accomplish this without a full government takeover.
 
lol okay.

i want to be a doctor to treat patients, not to be all powerful and never capitulate to authority... if you want to be the guy who sets the rules, run for public office.

health insurance should be not-for-profit. the only way to have not for profit health insurance is if its government run

A person who thinks like this is ideologically corrupt and should NOT be a doctor.
 
LOL...agree with mohs...need some popcorn, preferably with butter, while we sit back to enjoy this 999th debate about single payer health care!

As far as the OP's question: nobody can predict the future, but I think that we can expect continued heavy involvement of the government, as well as private insurance companies, in health care. I personally don't think we'll have single payer health care any time really soon in the US, but in 10 or 20 years, who knows? OP, I think if you want a lot of individual authority over what you are doing, and you want to do something in health care, I would recommend dentistry, or oral/maxillofacial surgery (which would be an MD job usually) or perhaps something like plastic surgery or derm. The latter two (and to some extent OMFS also) are VERY hard to get into though, so not sure you can count on being able to do one of those even if/after you get into med school. Dentistry would be safer bet b/c a lot of dentists don't take private insurance, and/or only take the insurances the like/want to accept. It's a lot harder (or even impossible) to do that as a physician (unless you are in one of the above-mentioned fields), particularly in certain areas of the country. There are some family practice and other primary care docs though who have totally ditched all insurance companies, etc. and either see patients for a fixed price/visit and/or run a concierge practice where patients pay a yearly fee to belong to their practices.

I don't think having certain political or economic beliefs makes one fit or unfit to practice medicine (unless you are a crazy nazi Dr. Mengele type, etc.) - it's your level of skill, plus knowledge and compassion that will determine that.
 
As the government progresses to take over healthcare (That will happen whether they actually achieve universal coverage or not) we can expect progressively greater expense or the beginning of top down rationing. The cheapness of other universal systems comes from a combination of rationing, more friendly legal environments, and in some cases, the fact that the government just runs things rather than attempting to control other random entities that then control other entities which run things. The idea that the expense difference, in France vs. The US for example, is solely because they have universal coverage and we don't is exceedingly simplifying both healthcare systems.

What I suspect in the US is growth of a completely private sector (not the quasi-private sector which universally takes all sorts of government insurance and is thus enslaved to the beauracrats). It's sort of like public school. The school systems in the US were all private until one day the government started taking everyone's money by force to fund a public school system. This hurt the previously existing private schools. Over time however, the public system has deteriorated to such a degree that a progressively larger number of parents are removing their kids from public schools and paying twice (once in taxes for the public school and another time in tuition) to have their kids go to a high quality private school. This would be the beginning of a two tiered system. I suspect this is where we are going. I actually hope so, because I hope that the government seperates itself from the private sector at some point before they completely destroy it and no one remembers how to practice without a beauracrat on his shoulder.
 
Yes, this topic is not only old, but futile. Too many on both sides are so dogmatic about their views that there is no point in trying to reason with them. Your only hope is that you can get enough people who feel the same way as you to get involved politically and stand up for what is right.

In my school we are forming a student group to educate students (future physicians) on the issues and help provide ways for their voice to be heard. If more doctors got involved and advocated their position (somewhere besides SDN) then maybe we could stave of socialism for another decade or so.
 
A person who thinks like this is ideologically corrupt and should NOT be a doctor.

You are absolutely right!

Oranges are icky and people who like them shouldn't be doctors either!

And anyone who watches LOST should definitely NOT be able to be a lawyer!

If you wear green, no middle management for you!

Making illogical statements and linking them to random aspects of a unknown person's character and using that as a basis for a generalized judgment is fun! :laugh::laugh::laugh::laugh::laugh::laugh:
 
I think anyone who makes blanket statements about why a large faction of people who are doctors should not be a doctor....should not be a doctor...
 
health insurance should be not-for-profit. the only way to have not for profit health insurance is if its government run

Not true. Not-for-profit insurers already exist.

And can you name one government run organization that operates efficiently? With perhaps the exception of the military, and even that's questionable at times. You seriously want healthcare controlled by the whims of those turkeys up in DC?
 
A lot of terms being thrown around, and apparently a lot of misconception.

There is no free market in health care. In fact, the two are incompatible. I was an economics major as an undergrad, did my graduate work to become a PA, and am now completing a doctoral degree in health policy, and am a member of the Mayo Clinic Health Policy Center. I say this, not to brag, but to clarify where my position comes from.

I recently gave a talk at a medical conference, and I had several physicians wanting to discuss "Free Market" healthcare. I laughed, and said I'd love to.

We haven't had a free market in health care since before 1965. The problem with free market healthcare lies within social morality. I am in the process of writing an article on this very topic for Health Affairs Journal, so I won't let everything escape, but essentially, the only way a free market works, is to allow some industries, businesses, and individuals to fail. If there is a safety net, or an alternative, then by definition, YOU DO NOT have a free market model.

My question to the physicians who asked me from the audience is the same I would posit here. Are you willing to accept the fact that thousands, if not tens of thousands of patients/people will suffer, become gravely ill, and possibly even die from medical conditions that COULD have, and SHOULD have been prevented?

If you say YES, then we can actually discuss free market healthcare, and have a fruitful discussion

If you say NO, then you accept that socially, it is not acceptable to allow our sickest and oldest to become ill or die from situations that could have been prevented. You have accepted some degree of governmental healthcare involvement.

Saying that the government is involved is not necessarily a bad thing. As a payor, as in Zeke Emanuel's plan (he's a Harvard Med Grad, Breast Oncologist), it's not a bad thing at all. As a completely socialized system, maybe not so much.

Will it happen. Yes, we will likely see a much greater role of government in healthcare, which is why I, and others in the national health policy arena are working to ensure that we get good, deliberate, and thoughtful change. Rather than haphazard, quick, and poorly thought out decisions.

The number you should all be scared of is 6.7%

OH, and the Medicare SGR rate is set to be reduced by 21% this year. It likely won't happen to that amount. But it will be reduced at least a small amount. Obama's plan also calls for 141 billion in cuts to providers over the next ten years. We are all going to see a slight pay cut. And, if some of the other changes occur, primary care could see a raise, and proceduralists could see a paycut.

It's going to be a VERY busy year. At least for me.
 
Before 1965, there was no mass death of people who weren't protected by the government. In the environment of low regulation and reasonable overhead, numerous charity hospitals existed all over America who took care of people for reduced fees or free of charge. The idea isn't whether thousands should not have access to healthcare, but whether the government should entitle those thousands to healthcare without giving the people providing or paying for it a choice in the matter (either quantity or quality of treatment and cost).
 
As one more point, I'm not sure why every charity or social good has to be provided by the government. The Americorps is a perfect example of this. We are wasting millions of dollars of taxpayer money to pay adults to do nice things for people that boy scouts and that "nice kid down the street" have been doing for other people for free for decades. We are the most charitable nation on earth. We give more private money and time than any other nation on earth to charitable endeavors. The idea that the government failing to involve itself in a charitable intervention will somehow make it fall apart is fallacious and completely contradicted by what happens in the US. I'd really hate to get to the point where asking your neighbor to help you fix your fence becomes an exercise in beauracracy, but that is exactly the logical conclusion to this slope of government charity of which healthcare sits at the front line.
 
having health insurance should be required by law. why is automobile insurance required by law but health insurance isn't? No one feels sorry for people who dont have automobile isurance. 🙂
 
having health insurance should be required by law. why is automobile insurance required by law but health insurance isn't? No one feels sorry for people who dont have automobile isurance. 🙂

You have the option not to drive. Any person is perfectly free to not have automobile insurance, but they can't legally register a vehicle to drive on a public road. You also do not have to insure your car or yourself in many states. Most of the time, the insurance is required to protect other people from you. There is a big difference between a requirement to pay for something to protect others if you choose to use a public service and forcing everyone to buy something no matter what they do that they don't want.
 
Before 1965, there was no mass death of people who weren't protected by the government. In the environment of low regulation and reasonable overhead, numerous charity hospitals existed all over America who took care of people for reduced fees or free of charge. The idea isn't whether thousands should not have access to healthcare, but whether the government should entitle those thousands to healthcare without giving the people providing or paying for it a choice in the matter (either quantity or quality of treatment and cost).


BUT ahh, yes there was. Not a mass death, but should we compare M&M rates of various disorders from the late 50's until now? Should we compare lifespan?

Technology and knowledge have taken quantum leaps since that era. We now have the knowledge and ability to at least treat conditions and prolong life in ways that could not have even been imagined in the late 50's.

Or do you want to discuss rationing? Which btw, I always bring up in my talks, and everyone squirms in their seats, as it is the 800 pound gorilla sitting in the corner of the room of the Health Reform debate.

It has been posited by people far smarter than I, that it would take a person 5000 years of reading 2 medical journals per day to accumulate all of the medical knowledge currently available. This is obviously not a mortal reality.

This increase in knowledge and technology have increased costs far beyond what they were. Pro Bono care still exists, and may help a small percentage of the people who may be in need, but it cannot under any economic model I think of, account for them all.

So, we're back to my social morality position.
 
This increase in knowledge and technology have increased costs far beyond what they were. Pro Bono care still exists, and may help a small percentage of the people who may be in need, but it cannot under any economic model I think of, account for them all.
Source, please.
 
What the he**, I'll weigh in....

Ignoring the "social morality" for a moment -- rationing is inevitable... there is no way around it. Reimbursement rates can only be cut so far; this populist game is one of diminishing returns and once these payments fall below the threshold of costs for providing the services changes will be made -- only the options will be severely limited in a fixed, non-negotiable fee schedule environment.

Rationing exists today and will continue to expand under progressive governmental intervention. Prior to outright, explicit rationing there will be a soft rationing in the form of prolonged wait times, increased use of formulary trees, etc. Services that result in a net loss for practices will be offered by fewer and fewer practices, resulting in its own form of rationing.... on and on.

As for the "social morality" argument -- I have never been able to reconcile the "unique place of healthcare" personally; while I would not equate it to automotive services, I cannot see how it is fundamentally different from, say, food. Defining "basic" healthcare services could prove problematic, but it is not too callous to conclude that "gold plated" care for all is untenable. I suppose that we will have to leave it to "society" and the politicians to decide what should be covered and paid for; what I take issue with is the systematic devaluation of our services for the simple fact that they want to provide more care without paying for it....
 
Source, please.


http://www.econmodel.com/classic/

I could give a long explanation and a breakdown of the numbers of uninsured and underinsured, and the impact on the 7,569 hospitals in the US trying to see roughly 15.4 million patients for little to no reimbursement. But I am tired, I have a meeting with the practice committee in the morning, and I am going to bed.

Here's the actual formula if you really want to have fun. The most appropriate model for the discussion we are having is the Cobweb Inventory Stability formula, whereas healthcare is the inventory in question:

"To emphasize the differences between the models, the Inventory-Based Pricing Model
adopts the supply and demand equations from the Cobweb Model. The latter’s
demand equation
P = 2 + ( 20 + QS - 3 Y ) / alpha
is rearranged to put quantity demanded QD on the left:
QD = -20 + alpha ( P - 2 ) + 3 Y
For comparison to the results for the Cobweb Model, the demand slope alpha is taken
to range from -6.0 to -3.5.
The Supply Curve is given by
QS = -10 + beta ( P[t-1] - 2 ) + 2 WX
The supply curve slope beta is always set to 5.
The Inventory-Based Pricing Model does not attempt to achieve QD = QS immediately.
Rather, the inventory absorbs the difference:
Inv[t] = Inv[t-1] + QS - QD.
The price then adjusts to eventually restore the inventory to 10 units:
P = 2 - 0.1 ( Inv - 10 ).​
If the inventory is below 10, the price is increased."

 
Like most economic models where someone attempts to create an equation to understand human supply and demand, this one is ridiculous. You cannot simply adjust the price willy nilly to accomodate perceived demand. It's backwards and simplistic. Demand is in part a function of the cost to the individual demanding. For example, there may be 1 million people that want a personal nurse health coach if someone else funds it, but that number changes to 500,000 if the individual has to pay 10 dollars. If the individual has to pay the full cost of the coach, that number drops to say 50,000. These are all made up numbers, but it shows my point. Similarly, the number of available health coaches at any particular price point shifts drastically. There may be a few people who would do it for free, a few more who would do it for low cost. If it paid $1 million a year, sign me up, and I'll be a health coach. At the very least, another variable for degree (or percentage) of government funding of a particular service would have to be implemented, and this is assuming that we could really keep up with the change in QD in real time at the given price point (something that is impossible). This is also assuming that the government funded it at the same percentage for everyone (something they will never do, as they can't resist using every program as a method for "helping" someone while excluding someone else). With this new impossible equation, we would then need to apply it to all medical services potentially offered while simultaneously understanding the changes in QD and QS in the entire nation in real time without any kind of capitalist system to watch and determing the QD and QS at different price points.

Sure there have been improvements in how we treat disease. There has been 50 more years of technology. It is inevitable that some of that technology will eventually be rationed. It has to be. In the normal course of the development of technology (say a personal computer), there was a capitalist market to determine its progression. First rich people had one, then price points came down to open up new markets. Eventually, competition has provided most people with a PC. They are not all equal PCs. I have an old laptop, because I'm poor. Yet, this PC is still far superior to the computers being used by ever fortune 500 company 50 years ago. Healthcare has bypassed this model, and instead of finding an efficient way of providing a PC to everyone, the obsession with equality has kept 20 and 30 year old technology at the price points of 20 or 30 years ago, because everyone already has access to the market, and there is no competition to bring prices down. Charity care would access the cheaper technology. It would effectively ration the most expensive treatments from the poor (something that is going to end up happening anyway), but it wouldn't resemble healthcare of 50 years ago either. Over time, technology costs would drop, and healthcare would improve on all fronts. It would be unequal, but everyone would benefit.
 
physasst, you didn't answer my question. I wasn't looking for the source of an online economics textbook. I was looking for a source to support your assertion that Pro Bono care could not support the uninsured.

You responded to this by using a classic model, and plugging in numbers that you pulled out of your ass. What is your source for those numbers?
 
BUT ahh, yes there was. Not a mass death, but should we compare M&M rates of various disorders from the late 50's until now? Should we compare lifespan?
We can compare them, but not with the expectation of yielding anything meaningful about the effectiveness of our payment structure. Syphilis used to be a death sentence, now it's easily curable. That doesn't mean that syphilis patients died due to lack of health insurance or government intervention back then. It means we discovered penicillin.

Technology and knowledge have taken quantum leaps since that era. We now have the knowledge and ability to at least treat conditions and prolong life in ways that could not have even been imagined in the late 50's.

Or do you want to discuss rationing? Which btw, I always bring up in my talks, and everyone squirms in their seats, as it is the 800 pound gorilla sitting in the corner of the room of the Health Reform debate.

It has been posited by people far smarter than I, that it would take a person 5000 years of reading 2 medical journals per day to accumulate all of the medical knowledge currently available. This is obviously not a mortal reality.

This increase in knowledge and technology have increased costs far beyond what they were. Pro Bono care still exists, and may help a small percentage of the people who may be in need, but it cannot under any economic model I think of, account for them all.

So, we're back to my social morality position.

Increase in knowledge and technology has very little to do with the increased cost of our healthcare. Healthcare is the only industry in history for which increased technology has come with increased costs rather than decreased costs. There are a couple of exceptions: cosmetic procedures and lasik eye surgery. In both of these areas, techniques and equipment have become safer and more advanced while prices have fallen. What is the common thread between them? NO INSURANCE COVERAGE. The exploding healthcare costs and declining performance can be blamed almost entirely on private and government insurance in this country. Yet the solution is more insurance?
 
physasst, you didn't answer my question. I wasn't looking for the source of an online economics textbook. I was looking for a source to support your assertion that Pro Bono care could not support the uninsured.

You responded to this by using a classic model, and plugging in numbers that you pulled out of your ass. What is your source for those numbers?


and continue to use many sources for my numbers.

7,565 hospitals.
47 million uninsured.(estimate-quoted by many sources, including the CBO)
and additional 30ish (this one is hard, as any number is a very rough estimate) million with underinsurance.
rough estimations that any given year, only 20% of the population actually use and access the health care system.
5% of the population account for 60% of healthcare spending.
76,000 PA's
145,000 NP's (only 50% or so in practice)
825,000 physicians (gross estimation. I looked at four differnet sources, and got four different numbers)

Sure the economic model doesn't work....that's kinda my point. Thank you for making it.

One question for this remarkably giving crowd who continues to espouse pro-bono care?

WHY is it not working? We have free clinics in most cities, and yet they continue to remain understaffed and underfunded.

If physicians providing pro-bono care could merely take care of all of the uninsured needs.....why has it not happened yet?

I'm actually really curious to hear your responses. I want to compare them with the students responses in the class I am teaching.
 
I'm actually really curious to hear your responses. I want to compare them with the students responses in the class I am teaching.

My response continues to be the same. Please cite the sources for your numbers. I have no idea whether the model works or not, because I don't know where you got your numbers from.

Also, could you try replying once without adding that you "teach a class," or "give talks on this all the time," because, as far as I am concerned, you can barely articulate a coherent thought, not to mention that you haven't touched Miami_Med's reply to you, which reads as though he has put a hell of a lot more thought into advancing a convincing argument than you.
 
Sol,

physasst is probably intelligent enough to have read several of MM's posts and has decided the wiser course is to not lock horns with him... for it would likely be a losing battle.

The truth of the matter is that those soliciting for radical change have absolutely no more proof that their way will work better than the system in place. There have been no satisfactory working models. Medicare pilot sites focusing on primary care, prevention, care coordination, etc have been miserable failures. Furthering the nanny state for societal good (read welfare) is the only argument that they know to make, the only tune that they know... therefore they will continue to beat the drum to the same tune. They really are no different than those who can only preach "free market" or "anti-regulation". The struggle really lies in striking the balance between allowing free markets to function (which has been pointed out time and again that the "free market" battle was lost over 40 years ago under the last Obama-esque regime) with adequate regulation to protect "fairness" according to its definition of the day and promote orderly markets. Failure to strike a good balance results in either the problems seen today or a stifling and restrictive business environment at the hand of oppressive regulation.
 
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and continue to use many sources for my numbers.

7,565 hospitals.
47 million uninsured.(estimate-quoted by many sources, including the CBO)
and additional 30ish (this one is hard, as any number is a very rough estimate) million with underinsurance.
rough estimations that any given year, only 20% of the population actually use and access the health care system.
5% of the population account for 60% of healthcare spending.
76,000 PA's
145,000 NP's (only 50% or so in practice)
825,000 physicians (gross estimation. I looked at four different sources, and got four different numbers)

Sure the economic model doesn't work....that's kinda my point. Thank you for making it.

One question for this remarkably giving crowd who continues to espouse pro-bono care?

WHY is it not working? We have free clinics in most cities, and yet they continue to remain understaffed and underfunded.

If physicians providing pro-bono care could merely take care of all of the uninsured needs.....why has it not happened yet?

I'm actually really curious to hear your responses. I want to compare them with the students responses in the class I am teaching.

physasst,

First off, I am skeptical that your point was "the economic model that you professed does not work".... we should all be honest here, for any discussion devoid of honesty can have no positive outcome.

I am operating under the assumption that you have not been personally and directly responsible for any of the economic risks associated with providing care, that you have either been a well paid employee largely shielded from such concerns or a perpetual student (forgive me if you mentioned a bio, I don't remember seeing it). Given that, I can understand the rather superficial understanding of the microecon issues facing providers today.

Addressing the topic at hand -- one should not assume that all charity care is provided in the setting of charity clinics, ER's, health departments, etc. There are a virtual cornucopia of reasons why the current system can be considered lacking, but making the leap to abandonment of the current multi-payer system and advocating a radical overhaul is quite a leap indeed.

Charity care in physician offices has declined since the early 90's. This should prompt the astute observer to ask "what changed at that time?" Two overriding paradigm shifts occurred in the early 90's: a change from the "usual, reasonable, and customary" fee pricing structure to the RBRVU system and the rise of managed care. Simply put, public and private payors put their collective boot on doc fees, causing docs to cut back on nonpaying work.

If we cannot address the declining reimbursement, increasing regulation, and overall generally hostile environment that exists today, we have NO hope of increasing charity care in the private physician office. I fail to see, however, how the redistribution of dollars within the system (because no one that I have heard of is advocating additional funding) can effectively address the problems facing the providers who provide the framework for the system.
 
physasst,

First off, I am skeptical that your point was "the economic model that you professed does not work".... we should all be honest here, for any discussion devoid of honesty can have no positive outcome.

I am operating under the assumption that you have not been personally and directly responsible for any of the economic risks associated with providing care, that you have either been a well paid employee largely shielded from such concerns or a perpetual student (forgive me if you mentioned a bio, I don't remember seeing it). Given that, I can understand the rather superficial understanding of the microecon issues facing providers today.

Addressing the topic at hand -- one should not assume that all charity care is provided in the setting of charity clinics, ER's, health departments, etc. There are a virtual cornucopia of reasons why the current system can be considered lacking, but making the leap to abandonment of the current multi-payer system and advocating a radical overhaul is quite a leap indeed.

Charity care in physician offices has declined since the early 90's. This should prompt the astute observer to ask "what changed at that time?" Two overriding paradigm shifts occurred in the early 90's: a change from the "usual, reasonable, and customary" fee pricing structure to the RBRVU system and the rise of managed care. Simply put, public and private payors put their collective boot on doc fees, causing docs to cut back on nonpaying work.

If we cannot address the declining reimbursement, increasing regulation, and overall generally hostile environment that exists today, we have NO hope of increasing charity care in the private physician office. I fail to see, however, how the redistribution of dollars within the system (because no one that I have heard of is advocating additional funding) can effectively address the problems facing the providers who provide the framework for the system.


Well, first off, everyone agrees we need to change the reimbursement structure. We need to dramatically change the CMS reimbursements for cognitive services to a level that is appropriate. We need to move away from a volume based delivery system, to a quality based delivery system.

Personally, I think they need to re-distribute monies within the existing framework. Primary care physicians need to be paid more, and specialists should be paid less. But that's my own opinion, and not necessarily reflective of Mayo.
 
My response continues to be the same. Please cite the sources for your numbers. I have no idea whether the model works or not, because I don't know where you got your numbers from.

Also, could you try replying once without adding that you "teach a class," or "give talks on this all the time," because, as far as I am concerned, you can barely articulate a coherent thought, not to mention that you haven't touched Miami_Med's reply to you, which reads as though he has put a hell of a lot more thought into advancing a convincing argument than you.


Some of the sources vary, as the numbers they report do.

Hospitals, 7,565, this may also be underreported as I can think of at least six hospitals that have closed in the last year that I am aware of, and there are likely many more that I do not know about.

http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/www/releases/archives/facts_for_features_special_editions/004491.html

5% of population consuming approximately 60% of resources
http://content.healthaffairs.org/cgi/content/abstract/20/2/9


Number of Uninsured, Orzag and Emanuel have repeatedly said 47 million, but one source says 46, one says 46.7, seems to vary, here's one from my specialty.
http://www3.acep.org/patients.aspx?id=25932


Number of physicians, 825,000. This seems to vary considerably when looking at different sources. I have seen figures as high as 900,000, and other figures as low 650,000.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/health/2005-03-02-doctor-shortage_x.htm

http://www.bls.gov/oco/ocos074.htm


The 20% of the population consuming healthcare is not a figure I have a source for, it is a quote that I have heard several times from the CEO of Mayo Clinic and my colleague, Denis Cortese, MD. I trust his word, and have not bothered to research it extensively myself.


30 million underinsured is the number currently being touted, although there is significant variance among opinions on this, chiefly being due to one's definition of underinsured. Here's a link from 2007 that lists 25 million at that time.

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/Con...-Trends-Among-U-S--Adults--2003-and-2007.aspx

Number of PA's

http://www.aapa.org/glance.html

Number of NP's

http://www.acnpweb.org/i4a/pages/Index.cfm?pageID=3353

They list 65% of NP graduates as working as "Nurse Practitioners", but I think Polly is being a bit generous there.
 
Like most economic models where someone attempts to create an equation to understand human supply and demand, this one is ridiculous. You cannot simply adjust the price willy nilly to accomodate perceived demand. It's backwards and simplistic. Demand is in part a function of the cost to the individual demanding. For example, there may be 1 million people that want a personal nurse health coach if someone else funds it, but that number changes to 500,000 if the individual has to pay 10 dollars. If the individual has to pay the full cost of the coach, that number drops to say 50,000. These are all made up numbers, but it shows my point. Similarly, the number of available health coaches at any particular price point shifts drastically. There may be a few people who would do it for free, a few more who would do it for low cost. If it paid $1 million a year, sign me up, and I'll be a health coach. At the very least, another variable for degree (or percentage) of government funding of a particular service would have to be implemented, and this is assuming that we could really keep up with the change in QD in real time at the given price point (something that is impossible). This is also assuming that the government funded it at the same percentage for everyone (something they will never do, as they can't resist using every program as a method for "helping" someone while excluding someone else). With this new impossible equation, we would then need to apply it to all medical services potentially offered while simultaneously understanding the changes in QD and QS in the entire nation in real time without any kind of capitalist system to watch and determing the QD and QS at different price points.

Sure there have been improvements in how we treat disease. There has been 50 more years of technology. It is inevitable that some of that technology will eventually be rationed. It has to be. In the normal course of the development of technology (say a personal computer), there was a capitalist market to determine its progression. First rich people had one, then price points came down to open up new markets. Eventually, competition has provided most people with a PC. They are not all equal PCs. I have an old laptop, because I'm poor. Yet, this PC is still far superior to the computers being used by ever fortune 500 company 50 years ago. Healthcare has bypassed this model, and instead of finding an efficient way of providing a PC to everyone, the obsession with equality has kept 20 and 30 year old technology at the price points of 20 or 30 years ago, because everyone already has access to the market, and there is no competition to bring prices down. Charity care would access the cheaper technology. It would effectively ration the most expensive treatments from the poor (something that is going to end up happening anyway), but it wouldn't resemble healthcare of 50 years ago either. Over time, technology costs would drop, and healthcare would improve on all fronts. It would be unequal, but everyone would benefit.


Well, let's see. I haven't been avoiding your post, but rather have truly been too busy the last few days to respond adequately.

Demand is always a function of cost to the individual demanding it, in this we are in complete agreement. We are also in agreement on the quantity demanded, and quantity supplied portions of the equation. The problem with the US health system, is that overwhelmingly the population want the best care possible, all of the time, and they don't want to pay any money out of pocket for it.

As far as the government funding it at different levels, this is why I support the Ezekiel Emanuel, MD, and Victor Fuchs plan. There is on difference in benefits, unless the individual chooses to purchase additional services.

Charity care might work to a degree, but it hasn't worked yet. I think you and I are in essence saying the same thing, with the exception of the belief that charity care can solve the problems with Un/Under insured patients.
 
Well, first off, everyone agrees we need to change the reimbursement structure. We need to dramatically change the CMS reimbursements for cognitive services to a level that is appropriate. We need to move away from a volume based delivery system, to a quality based delivery system.

Personally, I think they need to re-distribute monies within the existing framework. Primary care physicians need to be paid more, and specialists should be paid less. But that's my own opinion, and not necessarily reflective of Mayo.

OK...

#1. Everyone does not agree with your statements. Yes, most will agree that E&M services are under reimbursed relative to the headaches that they cause, but the converse is not absolutely true. What you have failed to appreciate is the tendency for all things to go to the lowest common denominator... not to mention the fact that the goal is to provide services for a larger population without corresponding increase in expenditures. Given the SGR and budget neutrality provisions, it translates into less money for all. What you are ultimately advocating is that anyone who performs procedures should get f'ed first and hardest...

#2. The only way to remove "volume" of services from "reimbursement" for services is to force salaries, capitation, or outright socialization of the entire mess.... yeah, come on here and advocate that.... You cannot pay someone to "not" work; likewise, increasing levels of productivity, in fact, should be rewarded. Furthermore, "quality" is notoriously difficult to define in the healthcare setting. Oftentimes we simply do not have reliable and reproducible data to make that determination. Until we reach the point where these limiting factors are no longer relevant, we cannot truly have "quality" based reimbursement strategies.

#3. On what do you base this last statement? I would argue, once again, that PCP's should be paid more and that "specialists" are often paid appropriately. Mandating and dictating what others should be paid is not exactly a traditional American point of view..... why again would you promote everyone going to the lowest common denominator????

There are a ton of reasons why PCP's earn less; suffice to say PCP's are not grossly underpaid solely because E&M codes are undervalued; they suffer from the bundling of everything that they do within the E&M series; they suffer from a lack of appropriate billable CPT codes for all of the services that they provide. There should be add-on codes for diabetic/htn/etc counseling, wellness, etc.
 
Lastly, quit reading from the handbook on "why socialized medicine is the only means to ethical healthcare". Listen to the arguments, think through them, understand their implications, and run the other way. Stay away from the Kool-Aid, they obviously spike it with pretty strong wacky weed....
 
OK...

#1. Everyone does not agree with your statements. Yes, most will agree that E&M services are under reimbursed relative to the headaches that they cause, but the converse is not absolutely true. What you have failed to appreciate is the tendency for all things to go to the lowest common denominator... not to mention the fact that the goal is to provide services for a larger population without corresponding increase in expenditures. Given the SGR and budget neutrality provisions, it translates into less money for all. What you are ultimately advocating is that anyone who performs procedures should get f'ed first and hardest...

#2. The only way to remove "volume" of services from "reimbursement" for services is to force salaries, capitation, or outright socialization of the entire mess.... yeah, come on here and advocate that.... You cannot pay someone to "not" work; likewise, increasing levels of productivity, in fact, should be rewarded. Furthermore, "quality" is notoriously difficult to define in the healthcare setting. Oftentimes we simply do not have reliable and reproducible data to make that determination. Until we reach the point where these limiting factors are no longer relevant, we cannot truly have "quality" based reimbursement strategies.

#3. On what do you base this last statement? I would argue, once again, that PCP's should be paid more and that "specialists" are often paid appropriately. Mandating and dictating what others should be paid is not exactly a traditional American point of view..... why again would you promote everyone going to the lowest common denominator????

There are a ton of reasons why PCP's earn less; suffice to say PCP's are not grossly underpaid solely because E&M codes are undervalued; they suffer from the bundling of everything that they do within the E&M series; they suffer from a lack of appropriate billable CPT codes for all of the services that they provide. There should be add-on codes for diabetic/htn/etc counseling, wellness, etc.


I will rephrase...MANY agree with me. Yes, I am advocating for those who perform procedures to get it the hardest first, as they make substantially more. I also ABSOLUTELY support a capitation market for medicine. And, actually, this was brought up by the leaders in medical education at the recent symposium, and there was, while not complete, some support there for it. Count me among the supporters.

You should look at the Senate proposals. They contain a lot of "meat" regarding pay for performance incentives, and cuts. Whether you like it, or not, this is the direction the congress is moving in.
 
I will rephrase...MANY agree with me. Yes, I am advocating for those who perform procedures to get it the hardest first, as they make substantially more. I also ABSOLUTELY support a capitation market for medicine. And, actually, this was brought up by the leaders in medical education at the recent symposium, and there was, while not complete, some support there for it. Count me among the supporters.

You should look at the Senate proposals. They contain a lot of "meat" regarding pay for performance incentives, and cuts. Whether you like it, or not, this is the direction the congress is moving in.

"Many" are often wrong... I have glanced through the document from the Senate Finance Committee that you posted earlier; I had to stop reading after page 16 where it became patently obvious that they are placing politics over truth... those pilot sites were miserable failures... and your advocation of capitation is tantamount to advocating a perverse incentive structure that rewards restriction of services and arbitrary rationing of care.

http://medicaleconomics.modernmedic...Article/detail/590406?contextCategoryId=45496
 
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Another thing (since your argument has now stoked my ire) -- your incessant idolization of these "leaders of medical education" -- the academic elite -- is laughable. Those who seek out these positions are either politically driven or utopian believers in many instances. Perhaps you do not have enough experience yet to have an adequate understanding of the evolution of the healthcare arena, but these very academic elite are a large source of the problem. Just look at the thread about the ghost writing cardiologist... while that example may be more blatant than most, it does not fall far from the curve. These very people who you idolize have made insane amounts of $$ over their career by being pharma or device or some other industry *****; industry learned a long time ago that papers are written by paid consultants, these papers then get cited in review articles and textbooks, subsequently accepted as gospel by the sheep that follow. They have been shielded, in large part, from the economic realities of private practice. They also represent a minority opinion in the house of medicine; I propose that they are of a fundamentally different mindset than the silent majority. It is, in part, this perverse system that has landed us in this mess.

If you really want to lay blame for the "skyrocketing cost of healthcare", MD incomes should be nowhere near the top of the list. To assert such is, well, ignorant. While physician decisions are cost drivers, physician spending only accounts for approximately 20% of the total healthcare tab. Half of that goes to paying the bills (malpractice, staff salaries, etc), leaving 10% for income. Damn near half of that goes straight back to the gov't in the form of taxes. If you cut our pay 20% you have only saved the nation 2% of the tab -- and at what cost.

The emphasis needs to switch from the current demonization of procedures, specialists, etc -- and focus on the realities of the situation. Two major factors drive healthcare costs: larger, sicker population and increased utilization. Fix either of those two and we will net a much greater savings than the 2% you propose. The real crux of the problem is that we don't know what is "cost effective" many times and what is not. On and on...

So, it really boils down to rationing -- which is the reality of any economic system. Until "the leaders" are willing to blow some political capital, address and accept that fact, we will continue to go down the road to a worse place than where we are now... with a demoralized health profession and swelling tax liability.
 
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Well, let's see. I haven't been avoiding your post, but rather have truly been too busy the last few days to respond adequately.

Demand is always a function of cost to the individual demanding it, in this we are in complete agreement. We are also in agreement on the quantity demanded, and quantity supplied portions of the equation. The problem with the US health system, is that overwhelmingly the population want the best care possible, all of the time, and they don't want to pay any money out of pocket for it.

As far as the government funding it at different levels, this is why I support the Ezekiel Emanuel, MD, and Victor Fuchs plan. There is on difference in benefits, unless the individual chooses to purchase additional services.

Charity care might work to a degree, but it hasn't worked yet. I think you and I are in essence saying the same thing, with the exception of the belief that charity care can solve the problems with Un/Under insured patients.


This is exactly the problem though, and it is the inevitable problem that occurs when you attempt to use politics as a substitute for the market. Of course people want more stuff for free. I want a Porsche, a 5,000 sq ft. house, and an ocean view. The catch, I can't afford it. The government consistently and persistently fails in attempts to reduce costs. You CANNOT reduce costs in a market while simultaneously giving in to the populist sentiment that every politician must give lip service to in order to get re-elected. People ALWAYS want more stuff. Always. If you ask the populations of every other nation if they want more stuff for no more out of pocket money, I'm sure you'll get the same response. I have no faith. Zero. That the government will legitimately stop covering or reduce access to some services. The far more likely scenario is to force providers to offer those services for less money.

I am actually less in touch with Emmanuel's plan, but a cornerstone of Daschle's plan (the one that originally won Obama's heart) was to intentionally stifle medical innovation as a cost cutting measure. You see, the government never simply backs out of a certain realm of healthcare. You will see incredible amounts of regulation attacking every area to which the government changes benefits. They have to. No politician is going to watch the market provide a service better than he is supposedly providing, because it would be politically untenable. You can't say that you are covering healthcare for everyone and then a certain group is getting superior medical care.

Your assesment of charity care in this country is also frankly, wrong. Every charity clinic claims to be underfunded, but part of the problem is that it costs so much to provide charity care. I have said it once, and I will say it again, the legal and regulatory environments in this country prevent us from offering a lower (but still mostly adequate) standard of care to different people for a LOT less money. There are also numerous acts of charity that are completely ignored. How often does a hospital eat a bill? How often do physicians slash their prices or ignore a bill. The collections system in this country is a mess, but that is in large part related to the stupid system in which no one knows how much anything costs until after it happens. It is an example of failure of a controlled system in which a doctor can't effectively put out a menu of services with cost like every other professional in every other profession in America.

I'm currently buying a house. I wanted a special inspection of the electrical system after an open ground was discovered on the initial home inspectioni. I called an electrician. We agreed on a price for him to go check it out (similar to an initial consultation). After he discovered the problem, he provided me with a cost to fix the problem. There was no ambiguity. There was no question as to the cost. There is no reason beyond critical emergency that a similar system could not be employed to deal with surgery or other medical procedures. That's how the whole rest of the country works. Insurance can function like it does in every other industry and cover part of the bill up to a certain cost. The government need not be involved. For those who are too poor to pay, I will again reiterate charity and the fact that you can't give everything to everyone and control costs at the same time. It does mean that occasionally, someone will not have access to something, but that has to be accepted if the alternative is essentially bankrupting the country (the direction we're going now).
 
This is exactly the problem though, and it is the inevitable problem that occurs when you attempt to use politics as a substitute for the market. Of course people want more stuff for free. I want a Porsche, a 5,000 sq ft. house, and an ocean view. The catch, I can't afford it. The government consistently and persistently fails in attempts to reduce costs. You CANNOT reduce costs in a market while simultaneously giving in to the populist sentiment that every politician must give lip service to in order to get re-elected. People ALWAYS want more stuff. Always. If you ask the populations of every other nation if they want more stuff for no more out of pocket money, I'm sure you'll get the same response. I have no faith. Zero. That the government will legitimately stop covering or reduce access to some services. The far more likely scenario is to force providers to offer those services for less money.

I am actually less in touch with Emmanuel's plan, but a cornerstone of Daschle's plan (the one that originally won Obama's heart) was to intentionally stifle medical innovation as a cost cutting measure. You see, the government never simply backs out of a certain realm of healthcare. You will see incredible amounts of regulation attacking every area to which the government changes benefits. They have to. No politician is going to watch the market provide a service better than he is supposedly providing, because it would be politically untenable. You can't say that you are covering healthcare for everyone and then a certain group is getting superior medical care.

Your assesment of charity care in this country is also frankly, wrong. Every charity clinic claims to be underfunded, but part of the problem is that it costs so much to provide charity care. I have said it once, and I will say it again, the legal and regulatory environments in this country prevent us from offering a lower (but still mostly adequate) standard of care to different people for a LOT less money. There are also numerous acts of charity that are completely ignored. How often does a hospital eat a bill? How often do physicians slash their prices or ignore a bill. The collections system in this country is a mess, but that is in large part related to the stupid system in which no one knows how much anything costs until after it happens. It is an example of failure of a controlled system in which a doctor can't effectively put out a menu of services with cost like every other professional in every other profession in America.

I'm currently buying a house. I wanted a special inspection of the electrical system after an open ground was discovered on the initial home inspectioni. I called an electrician. We agreed on a price for him to go check it out (similar to an initial consultation). After he discovered the problem, he provided me with a cost to fix the problem. There was no ambiguity. There was no question as to the cost. There is no reason beyond critical emergency that a similar system could not be employed to deal with surgery or other medical procedures. That's how the whole rest of the country works. Insurance can function like it does in every other industry and cover part of the bill up to a certain cost. The government need not be involved. For those who are too poor to pay, I will again reiterate charity and the fact that you can't give everything to everyone and control costs at the same time. It does mean that occasionally, someone will not have access to something, but that has to be accepted if the alternative is essentially bankrupting the country (the direction we're going now).

fundamental disagreement with any potential argument going forward is how much of healthcare should be fundamental right, and how much should be left to a free market, or at least partial free market paradigm.

Count me in the healthcare as a right camp. We cannot continue to compete in an international economy with companies continuing to shell out significant portions of their cost base to health benefits. We cannot continue to accept patients not recieving, at the very least basic care. I agree with you on the premise that not every patient can have every treatment all the time. Rationing, EVEN in a single payor system is inevitable. But, rather than rationing on a financial basis, as we do now, we can more approporiately ration on a case by case basis, taking into account age, disease severity, prognosis, etc.

We are also in agreement on a fragmented delivery system. If you were to develop a healthcare plan from scratch tomorrow. NO ONE in their right mind would design the current US system. HELL, we didn't even design it, it evolved in bits and spurts, with patches here, and fixes there....and in the end. You have what we have....a disjointed, dysfunctional mess, that is not even capable of standing on it's own anymore.

Charity care is declining..and while I do not, and would not pretend to know the percentages historically of the uninsured recieving charity care, it is certainly not able to support such lofty goals currently.

http://hschange.org/CONTENT/826/826.pdf

We need revolutionary change.

Emanuel's plan calls for a voucher based single payor system with the establishment of a US health board, similar to Tom Daschle's ideas. It is funded by a 10% VAT national sales tax on everything. It maintains the private insurance companies to administer the plans, but funds everything through the government VAT tax. Medicare will be gone. SCHIP, Medicaid, gone. It is the single best health reform plan I have ever read.
 
Another thing (since your argument has now stoked my ire) -- your incessant idolization of these "leaders of medical education" -- the academic elite -- is laughable. Those who seek out these positions are either politically driven or utopian believers in many instances. Perhaps you do not have enough experience yet to have an adequate understanding of the evolution of the healthcare arena, but these very academic elite are a large source of the problem. Just look at the thread about the ghost writing cardiologist... while that example may be more blatant than most, it does not fall far from the curve. These very people who you idolize have made insane amounts of $$ over their career by being pharma or device or some other industry *****; industry learned a long time ago that papers are written by paid consultants, these papers then get cited in review articles and textbooks, subsequently accepted as gospel by the sheep that follow. They have been shielded, in large part, from the economic realities of private practice. They also represent a minority opinion in the house of medicine; I propose that they are of a fundamentally different mindset than the silent majority. It is, in part, this perverse system that has landed us in this mess.

If you really want to lay blame for the "skyrocketing cost of healthcare", MD incomes should be nowhere near the top of the list. To assert such is, well, ignorant. While physician decisions are cost drivers, physician spending only accounts for approximately 20% of the total healthcare tab. Half of that goes to paying the bills (malpractice, staff salaries, etc), leaving 10% for income. Damn near half of that goes straight back to the gov't in the form of taxes. If you cut our pay 20% you have only saved the nation 2% of the tab -- and at what cost.

The emphasis needs to switch from the current demonization of procedures, specialists, etc -- and focus on the realities of the situation. Two major factors drive healthcare costs: larger, sicker population and increased utilization. Fix either of those two and we will net a much greater savings than the 2% you propose. The real crux of the problem is that we don't know what is "cost effective" many times and what is not. On and on...

So, it really boils down to rationing -- which is the reality of any economic system. Until "the leaders" are willing to blow some political capital, address and accept that fact, we will continue to go down the road to a worse place than where we are now... with a demoralized health profession and swelling tax liability.


I have said on several occasions that rationing remains the 800 pound gorilla sitting in the corner of the room that NO ONE wants to talk about. It is inevitable, but rather than ration based on financial status, as we do now, wouldn't it be FAR more appropriate to ration based on age, disease severity, prognosis, co-morbidities, etc.etc.etc.

OH, and as far as your comments about the academic elite....wait, what were you saying again?

I have only practiced in two large academic centers, Cleveland Clinic, and now Mayo. Research and Education remain passions of mine, and truth be known, Policy issues, and political discourse interests me far more than most other things about my job. I still enjoy clinical practice, and I'd like to think I'm good at it (you'd have to ask my patients and colleagues to be certain), but after 20 years, the policy stuff is where my energy goes.

As far as pay for value, or pay for performance criteria.

I suggest you read the Frost/Sullivan White Paper

http://www.physicianspractice.com/files/pdfs/FrostSullivan_GE_PayForPerformance.pdf

IT is already here, and they will be extending it.

One of the larger, more recent discussions that is tied to pay for performance, is "Comparative Effectiveness". If you look at the Senate proposal, it includes this.

Most clinicians think CE only applies to pharmaceuticals, procedures, treatment modalities, etc. One of things we at Mayo brought up was, perhaps we should have a comparative effectiveness study on PROVIDERS..comparing MD's, NP's, PA's, etc for the treatment of various disorders. We can likely only learn from each other...and yes, that perhaps means the MD's might be able to learn something from other providers.

Lastly, one other discussion that I've heard amongst a number of physicians, at least in these discussions, is that the current dynamic of physician autonomy HAS to change.

For a long time, physicians have practiced with the assumption, "well, they're the doctor, they must know better". Pay for value removes that assumption. Physicians will be held accountable for their practice parameters, and for meeting EBM guidelines. The world is changing, whether you LIKE it, or not.
 
I have said on several occasions that rationing remains the 800 pound gorilla sitting in the corner of the room that NO ONE wants to talk about. It is inevitable, but rather than ration based on financial status, as we do now, wouldn't it be FAR more appropriate to ration based on age, disease severity, prognosis, co-morbidities, etc.etc.etc.

Not that I necessarily disagree with you 100%, but a touch too Nazi style social engineering for my taste....

OH, and as far as your comments about the academic elite....wait, what were you saying again?

I'll say it again, this time slower with smaller words: academians are often out of touch with the realities of community practice because of the inherent shielding effects built into their structure. They quite often enjoy federal subsidies that afford them the luxury of ignoring economic principles.

I have only practiced in two large academic centers, Cleveland Clinic, and now Mayo. Research and Education remain passions of mine, and truth be known, Policy issues, and political discourse interests me far more than most other things about my job. I still enjoy clinical practice, and I'd like to think I'm good at it (you'd have to ask my patients and colleagues to be certain), but after 20 years, the policy stuff is where my energy goes.

Congratulations and kudos... and thank you for lending support to my "academian" point. Just try to refrain from allowing your Formalized Utopia by Committee (-ed) views destroy the traditional risk/reward structure that medical education has provided.

As far as pay for value, or pay for performance criteria.

I suggest you read the Frost/Sullivan White Paper

http://www.physicianspractice.com/files/pdfs/FrostSullivan_GE_PayForPerformance.pdf

IT is already here, and they will be extending it.

One of the larger, more recent discussions that is tied to pay for performance, is "Comparative Effectiveness". If you look at the Senate proposal, it includes this.

Most clinicians think CE only applies to pharmaceuticals, procedures, treatment modalities, etc. One of things we at Mayo brought up was, perhaps we should have a comparative effectiveness study on PROVIDERS..comparing MD's, NP's, PA's, etc for the treatment of various disorders. We can likely only learn from each other...and yes, that perhaps means the MD's might be able to learn something from other providers.

Lastly, one other discussion that I've heard amongst a number of physicians, at least in these discussions, is that the current dynamic of physician autonomy HAS to change.

For a long time, physicians have practiced with the assumption, "well, they're the doctor, they must know better". Pay for value removes that assumption. Physicians will be held accountable for their practice parameters, and for meeting EBM guidelines. The world is changing, whether you LIKE it, or not.

EBM and CE are two principles that I have no problem with; they are fundamentally sound in theory -- it is the proposed execution that leaves much to be desired. A solid foundation must be in place prior to erecting a building; our foundation (EBM and CE guidelines) is not in place. We should evolve in that direction, not change radically overnight. As much as "we at Mayo" would like to take credit for all things medical, this idea has been around for years. In fact, it was even exercised prior to your beloved federal government's intervention in the 60's...

One problem with the RBRVU system is that everyone is paid equally, as if we all Michael Jordan, when that clearly is not the case. In the pre-MC world people had an idea of who the good doctor was and whether he/she was worth the money. While charges were fairly uniform, the "good" ones could afford to charge more because of their reputation. Enter the Dems and their proclivity to screw things up in the name of "social justice" and the system spirals into chaos... political entropy at its finest... now, under their "new and improved system" the only way to increase income is to increase revenue, which means providing more services.

* disclaimer -- Republicans reigned during the fabrication of the RBRVU system, so there is plenty of political blame to share.
 
fundamental disagreement with any potential argument going forward is how much of healthcare should be fundamental right, and how much should be left to a free market, or at least partial free market paradigm.

Yes. This is a fundamental disagreement. I have a major problem with the concept of a "right" that requires taking something from someone else.

Count me in the healthcare as a right camp. We cannot continue to compete in an international economy with companies continuing to shell out significant portions of their cost base to health benefits. We cannot continue to accept patients not recieving, at the very least basic care. I agree with you on the premise that not every patient can have every treatment all the time. Rationing, EVEN in a single payor system is inevitable. But, rather than rationing on a financial basis, as we do now, we can more approporiately ration on a case by case basis, taking into account age, disease severity, prognosis, etc.

Whoa whoa, there are two things wrong with this paragraph. First of all, there is no reason why companies need to pay any health benefits. Using employment as a universal method of providing health insurance is stupid. It is a relic of the 1930s, with companies trying to find a way around Roosevelt's price controls. While I have no inherint problem with health insurance as a business perk, the continued reliance on business as a means to provide it makes no sense. Group insurance makes a whole lot of sense, though the affiliations through which it could and probably should be offered should be a lot more permanent (or atleast voluntary) than those associated with a job. We should be moving AWAY from an employer-based model.

Also, the source of healthcare provision has NOTHING to do with cost. Whether we provide health insurance through business or tax business to provide health insurance, the end result is the same. High healthcare costs are a problem in general. The government taking over and then imposing a 10% VAT that effectively drives up the price of everything doesn't improve the situation, it just hides the cost better.

lastly, you really can't say that we ration based on finance now at all. As we speak, any dreg of society can walk into my home hospital ER, get a million dollar work-up, and receive treatment nearly equal to what can be attained by anyone anywhere. We have no rationing. We have artificial barriers that make it easier to access high cost options without exhausting low cost options.

We are also in agreement on a fragmented delivery system. If you were to develop a healthcare plan from scratch tomorrow. NO ONE in their right mind would design the current US system. HELL, we didn't even design it, it evolved in bits and spurts, with patches here, and fixes there....and in the end. You have what we have....a disjointed, dysfunctional mess, that is not even capable of standing on it's own anymore.
Yes. We agree on that.

Charity care is declining..and while I do not, and would not pretend to know the percentages historically of the uninsured recieving charity care, it is certainly not able to support such lofty goals currently.

What lofty goals are these? The appropriate provision of charity is what it provides. Is it possible that everyone won't be able to have a multi-visceral transplant or 10 years on renal dialysis via charity care? Yes. Will some people eventually not be able to afford those things anyway? Yes

http://hschange.org/CONTENT/826/826.pdf

We need revolutionary change.

Emanuel's plan calls for a voucher based single payor system with the establishment of a US health board, similar to Tom Daschle's ideas. It is funded by a 10% VAT national sales tax on everything. It maintains the private insurance companies to administer the plans, but funds everything through the government VAT tax. Medicare will be gone. SCHIP, Medicaid, gone. It is the single best health reform plan I have ever read.
[/quote]

That is the worst idea that I have ever heard. Let me tell you all of the problems with it:

1. It establishes a VAT, which is the most sinister type of national sales tax. We can all secretly pay more and not know how much we're getting bilked. It will work so well, that our leaders in Washington will certainly begin to think that 20 or even 30% is a better number.

2. It will effectively remove ALL local healthcare resource allocation. If we have problems with Medicaid as it is administered by the local states. it will be far worse when we attempt to figure out whether we want to pay for Mr. Smith's colonoscopy in Wichita based on some number crunching in DC. We'll leave aside the very legitimate argument as to whether this is a violation of the 10th amendment to the constitution.

3. Using private companies to administer government health insurance money is a bad idea. It is the worst of both worlds. You essentially create another middle man who will be put in place based on who can bribe the government better. You then create a company whose sole purpose is to try to take a profit portion of public money by witholding the benefits that the money is supposed to pay for. I can't be to open without completely outing my identity online, but I can say that my personal experience with this sort of public-private hybrid was about the worst kind of hell. It made dealing with the government feel good, because atleast you only had to deal with one thing.

If you were to ask me, I would tell you that I would love to see a public-private split begin immediately. I'm tired of the government using public funds to try and control the private markets. I could go for a two tiered system. I don't agree with it at all, but atleast it would be better than what we have now. I'm afraid that our concessions to "capitalism" will create the worst type of fascism. If a public system must exist, it should be decentralized, and it should certainly not be turned back into the public-private hybrid. I'm a believer in free markets. Private enterprise that deals primarily in public money is not one. Capitalism, not privatization, is what creates efficiency. A private beauracracy is certainly no substitute for decentralizing decision making.
 
Yes. This is a fundamental disagreement. I have a major problem with the concept of a "right" that requires taking something from someone else.



Whoa whoa, there are two things wrong with this paragraph. First of all, there is no reason why companies need to pay any health benefits. Using employment as a universal method of providing health insurance is stupid. It is a relic of the 1930s, with companies trying to find a way around Roosevelt's price controls. While I have no inherint problem with health insurance as a business perk, the continued reliance on business as a means to provide it makes no sense. Group insurance makes a whole lot of sense, though the affiliations through which it could and probably should be offered should be a lot more permanent (or atleast voluntary) than those associated with a job. We should be moving AWAY from an employer-based model.

Also, the source of healthcare provision has NOTHING to do with cost. Whether we provide health insurance through business or tax business to provide health insurance, the end result is the same. High healthcare costs are a problem in general. The government taking over and then imposing a 10% VAT that effectively drives up the price of everything doesn't improve the situation, it just hides the cost better.

lastly, you really can't say that we ration based on finance now at all. As we speak, any dreg of society can walk into my home hospital ER, get a million dollar work-up, and receive treatment nearly equal to what can be attained by anyone anywhere. We have no rationing. We have artificial barriers that make it easier to access high cost options without exhausting low cost options.


Yes. We agree on that.



What lofty goals are these? The appropriate provision of charity is what it provides. Is it possible that everyone won't be able to have a multi-visceral transplant or 10 years on renal dialysis via charity care? Yes. Will some people eventually not be able to afford those things anyway? Yes

That is the worst idea that I have ever heard. Let me tell you all of the problems with it:

1. It establishes a VAT, which is the most sinister type of national sales tax. We can all secretly pay more and not know how much we're getting bilked. It will work so well, that our leaders in Washington will certainly begin to think that 20 or even 30% is a better number.

2. It will effectively remove ALL local healthcare resource allocation. If we have problems with Medicaid as it is administered by the local states. it will be far worse when we attempt to figure out whether we want to pay for Mr. Smith's colonoscopy in Wichita based on some number crunching in DC. We'll leave aside the very legitimate argument as to whether this is a violation of the 10th amendment to the constitution.

3. Using private companies to administer government health insurance money is a bad idea. It is the worst of both worlds. You essentially create another middle man who will be put in place based on who can bribe the government better. You then create a company whose sole purpose is to try to take a profit portion of public money by witholding the benefits that the money is supposed to pay for. I can't be to open without completely outing my identity online, but I can say that my personal experience with this sort of public-private hybrid was about the worst kind of hell. It made dealing with the government feel good, because atleast you only had to deal with one thing.

If you were to ask me, I would tell you that I would love to see a public-private split begin immediately. I'm tired of the government using public funds to try and control the private markets. I could go for a two tiered system. I don't agree with it at all, but atleast it would be better than what we have now. I'm afraid that our concessions to "capitalism" will create the worst type of fascism. If a public system must exist, it should be decentralized, and it should certainly not be turned back into the public-private hybrid. I'm a believer in free markets. Private enterprise that deals primarily in public money is not one. Capitalism, not privatization, is what creates efficiency. A private beauracracy is certainly no substitute for decentralizing decision making.


we do ration based on finance. Coming through the ER, is hardly even close to the same concept as getting comprehensive care. For example. If you have a 45 year old male come through the ED with painless hematochezia, he doesn't get a colonoscopy in the ED. He gets his hgb checked, and a referral is made. Problem is, if his finanical credentials, ie: insurance isn't adequate, he won't get the test. This happens daily across this country. To try and equate ED care with the best possible care, is not only disingenuous, it is flat out misleading. But thanks for parroting the Sean Hannity talking points.


I agree with you on some potential constitutional problems, which is why I would like to see an amendment to clarify things permanently.

Speaking of rights. Isn't it strange that a man who is arrested for a crime, will get a lawyer appointed to him FREE of charge if needed, as a right.

Yet, a man who becomes ill, and is trapped between making too much money to qualify for any government assistance, and too poor to pay for insurance with his now defined illness, and has no money, will get no care.

I personally find that odd.

Societies are judged by how they treat their sickest and oldest. I believe this to my core.

As far as the VAT tax, I'm not inherently crazy about the value added portion, as I learned in all my econ classes eons ago, that they were structurally not great for some of the reasons you alluded too. To be honest, I would rather see a flat consumption tax.

AS pertains to your federalist argument, there are certain duties that are, and need to be the purvey of the federal government.

We have the FDA, to ensure that all of our food, and medication supply is hopefully safe, and while they make errors from time to time. Could you really imagine every state having their own laws and rules?

We have the EPA, for many of the same reasons.

We have National Defense, really the FIRST national organization, present even before the ratification.

Personally, I would argue, that the government not only has a duty to protect our citizens from external invaders, but it has an equal duty to protect it's citizens when possible from illness.

You don't have to agree, I know you won't.
 
Are you serious? Really? People argue crazy sh** all the time, but arguments that fly in the face of all legal right and tradition, based solely on personal opinion or the political breeze of the day is pretty limp at best. The government's only responsibility, as defined by its guiding document, is to provide for the common defense and general welfare -- which applies to communicable disease and public health matters only. If Johnny gets cancer, it sucks, but it does not endanger Billy or his family. This is a private matter only to be handled through private channels.
 
Phyasst : the Victor Fuchs plan is an interesting one. Within the reality that we have to deal with, it seems like an ok compromise.

It would be nice to live in a world where all the expensive government services were paid for by charity. Those who worked hard and earned a lot of money would effectively have to pay much lower mandatory taxes in a world without government spending on Welfare/medicare/medicaid/social security. Then, those wealthy men could have choice as to whether to donate money to charity to help out the starving poor and dying senior citizens, or to spend it on things to impress women with. Human nature being what it is, I'm sure that there would be enormous amounts of charitable donations, comparable to government spending of our money. It's not like evolution has selected for people to be selfish, or anything.

The United States would be really great under such a plan. We'd have a healthcare system like, uh.... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Human_Development_Index
Umm, what country does it this way? Just wondering, so I know what to look forward to. The top countries on this list all have heavy socialization of healthcare.

Ah, well, that list was compiled by head in the clouds academics who have never practiced medicine, unlike Dr. MOHS. I'm sure that these countries don't richly deserve their location this far down on the list :
51. Mexico
52. Libya
53. Oman
54. Setchelles
55. Saudi Arabia
 
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The United States would be really great under such a plan. We'd have a healthcare system like, uh.... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Human_Development_Index
Umm, what country does it this way?
Just wondering, so I know what to look forward to. The top countries on this list all have heavy socialization of healthcare.
Like uh, THE UNITED STATES (PRE-MEDICARE.) Ask your parents what they thought of the healthcare system back then, compared to now.
 
we do ration based on finance. Coming through the ER, is hardly even close to the same concept as getting comprehensive care. For example. If you have a 45 year old male come through the ED with painless hematochezia, he doesn't get a colonoscopy in the ED. He gets his hgb checked, and a referral is made. Problem is, if his finanical credentials, ie: insurance isn't adequate, he won't get the test. This happens daily across this country. To try and equate ED care with the best possible care, is not only disingenuous, it is flat out misleading. But thanks for parroting the Sean Hannity talking points.
I can honestly say to this day that I have watched Sean Hannity exactly once, and it was because I was visiting a colleague who was a fan. I personally don't care much for political talk TV. I have no idea what you are talking about with regards to not being able to get a colonoscopy. Maybe that's how it is at Mayo, but I can tell you that we give colonoscopies to people who can't afford them down here at Jackson Memorial Hospital all the time. The way we do it is stupid, because you end up going through the ED to get access to these things (thus the barriers to which I previously alluded). Perhaps the issue to which you are referring is that Mayo doesn't want to treat these patients charitably. I understand that perfectly, but it is certainly not an example of the way any other place works.

I agree with you on some potential constitutional problems, which is why I would like to see an amendment to clarify things permanently.

Speaking of rights. Isn't it strange that a man who is arrested for a crime, will get a lawyer appointed to him FREE of charge if needed, as a right.
The difference here, is that being tried for a crime is essentially the government actively attempting to remove your freedom, and the lawyer for the defendant is really there more to make sure that the legal system works to prevent false convictions. In other words, you only get a lawyer when the system goes after you. The government doesn't give you a lawyer for any other reason, including seeking redress for wrongs.

Yet, a man who becomes ill, and is trapped between making too much money to qualify for any government assistance, and too poor to pay for insurance with his now defined illness, and has no money, will get no care.

I personally find that odd.

Societies are judged by how they treat their sickest and oldest. I believe this to my core.
This doesn't address the fundamental issue at all. Your reference to the dysfunction of the current system has nothing to do with whether a federal takeover of the medical system would be good. We both already agreed that the current system is ridiculous.

Your last statement there is one with which I agree on some levels, but I disagree with it as a premise for the point you are trying to make. It's sort of like when many of our European friends turn up their noses at the US for the lack of "international aid." Our government may or may not be giving less money, but the individual gifts from individual Americans usually supercede all personal giving from the rest of the world combined in virtually every crisis. The government is not a substitute for you deciding to be a good person. We are not a better society because we give a bunch of power mongers in Washington a bunch of power to give things to poor people. This is at best, a reflection on a lazy citizenry that would rather turn all of those poor unfortunate souls over to someone else. It's cheering about how good we are while simultaneously giving the problem away. In my personal life, I have participated greatly in charitable giving, and it has nothing to do with who made what law. The government only has the power to make people do things with force. It is not a benevolent being. The whole system would only work because the government would jail people who failed to pay into whatever system they concocted. That's not benevolence. How great a society are we when we threaten force and jail against anyone who doesn't want to meet our definition of charity du jour? That's government healthcare.

As far as the VAT tax, I'm not inherently crazy about the value added portion, as I learned in all my econ classes eons ago, that they were structurally not great for some of the reasons you alluded too. To be honest, I would rather see a flat consumption tax.
That would be a more visible (and yet equally damaging) tax. It doesn't solve the underlying problem. Higher taxes impair the ability of business to compete. It drives up the price of goods. It makes the average family unable to afford as much. This in turn reduces demand, which reduces demand for workers. A giant new tax on consumption would be a really good way to continue the recession longer.

AS pertains to your federalist argument, there are certain duties that are, and need to be the purvey of the federal government.
Yes, and they are clearly enumerated in the US constitution.

We have the FDA, to ensure that all of our food, and medication supply is hopefully safe, and while they make errors from time to time. Could you really imagine every state having their own laws and rules?

We have the EPA, for many of the same reasons.
I have no problems with states getting together and agreeing to a uniform code. I do have a problem with making enforcement federal unless it crosses state lines. When it crosses state lines, it falls under the purview of regulating interstate trade, which is an enumerated right of the federal government in the US constitution.
We have National Defense, really the FIRST national organization, present even before the ratification.
This is also an enumerated right of the federal government in the consitution.

Personally, I would argue, that the government not only has a duty to protect our citizens from external invaders, but it has an equal duty to protect it's citizens when possible from illness.

You don't have to agree, I know you won't.
Why does it have the duty to protect citizens from illness? The only really valid argument for why we have governments is to protect the citizenry from external threats, and perhaps to deal with issues that impact the population as a whole. This doesn't mean every crisis that is a combination of individual bad luck or bad choices.

Is there a reason to have a CDC and prevent epidemic disease? Yes. Infectious disease is a problem that affects all people, and the spread of an epidemic impacts the entire citizenry personally. I can walk down the street and be infected by someone else through no fault of my own, so the spread must be stopped. On the flip side, if I get cancer, it's terrible, but it is certainly not a national threat. I am not contagious. If I eat too many steaks and smoke too many cigarettes and have a heart attack, it sucks, but it isn't a national threat. The provision of a road is a common good, because everyone uses the same road. The same is not true for healthcare, where treatment is not in-common.

It goes down to the core of political theory (which is really what most of us end up disagreeing on) and how you perceive the government. I view the government as the least of all evils. A power vacuum is bad. A tyranny is also bad. In a sense, we give individuals some priveledge to oversee certain common necessities and common defense. They are certainly not the solution to all social ills. Is there any real reason to believe that a motley crew of people who spend every 2-6 years winning popularity contests by promising things to people with other people's money are the most qualified to solve social problems? If you were looking at it objectively, would any of the people involved in the final healthcare decision making even be at the table if you were trying to come up with the most qualified to make these types of decisions?
 
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