@Concrete Jungle
I understand the reaction. The base can deprotonate at either of the 2 alpha carbons. Here, it deprotonates at the more substituted alpha carbon.
Deprotonating at the more substitued alpha-carbon is the "thermodynamic product".
I was trying to understand (conceptually) why deprotonating at the more substitued alpha-carbon is the thermodynamic product.
With aldol condensations (where , after deprotonating, attack, and elimination, you form an alkene - you can then make judgements about stability based on the alkene's substitution), I can understand why deprotonating at the more substituted alpha-carbon is thermodynamic (because it results in the MORE substituted alkene product).
This problem is similar to aldol condensations (in that you also have to decide which alpha-carbon to deprotonate) but the difference is that the final product isn't an alkene. Instead, the two possible products are simply cyclic ketones (which, unlike alkenes, I cannot judge the stability of).
Thus, I cannot understand (conceptually) why deprotonating at the more substituted carbon is "thermodynamic" for this particular reaction.