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I was wondering if anyone thinks its a possibility that the MSTP program funding (mainly for the living stipend) will be cut out completely due to the sequestration budget cuts? Thanks in advance.
Oh great, one more free parameter to consider as I create an application list.
Does anyone think it's possible that if the situation is not resolved by the end of summer, that programs might overreact? IOW, could drastic(number of positions?) cuts be made for this upcoming application cycle because of the uncertainties? If so, since I am applying mostly to MSTPs, this would require an adjustment to my application strategy.
As noted by Maebea, most funding that supports MD/PhD programs comes from institutional sources. In particular, endowments is one of the major sources of MD/PhD funding. Endowments are typically conservatively invested, in our case, by our parent institution with a variable but healthy return even during the bad recent years (only 2009 was negative). Perhaps, MD/PhD applicants also need to track the stock market. Typically, endowments distribute funds to the program at 4% of the principal.
If the number of annual MD/PhD entry positions contract due to lack of NIH budget growth (i.e.: inflationary loss) or sequestration (i.e.: 5-7% decrease), they are likely to stay at current levels (590-630 range) or tend to gravitate to closer to the lower limit (590). See: https://www.aamc.org/download/321542/data/2012factstable32.pdf
I just don't see the return to 2004 levels...
Here is a list of endowments: http://chronicle.com/article/CollegeUniversity/136933/
I haven't looked at that facts-table since it was updated with 2012 data. It appears that apart from any funding issues, women are in full reverse. With percentages back to 2002 levels, it looks like a lost decade.
And this table is even more depressing,
https://www.aamc.org/download/321534/data/2012factstable28.pdf
You quoted table 28, which is MD enrollment. Table 36 comes in 2 parts with MD/PhD enrollment. It is not depressing, but clearly as compared to the 50/50 balance of MD, we need to work on this issue as well as to helping all MD/PhD graduates have research opportunities during residency and early faculty time.
Sorry, I was in a hurry and wasn't very clear. My first comment was to the table you posted (table 32) which shows 2001-12 MD/PhD matriculants. Women in 2012 (35.9%) was the lowest percentage since 2001 (32.3). I assume that if this becomes a trend (or the status quo) that it will soon be reflected in the total enrollment data.
My second reference was (table 28) about the apparent free-fall of Mexican Americans as a percentage of total enrollment in U.S. medical schools. As an Hispanic female, I found both of these trends disturbing.
Are you trolling? There is an increase since 2003 in Mexican-American enrollment (~2.46% in 2012 vs 2.41% in 2003, with an total gain of 328 persons (net relative gain of ~40 students)).
It makes an interesting histogram.
How is this a "free-fall"? It looks like status-quo, not an increase but certainly not a decrease. Go somewhere else. This thread is to discuss MSTP funding issues, not your social qualms.
How is this a "free-fall"? It looks like status-quo, not an increase but certainly not a decrease. Go somewhere else. This thread is to discuss MSTP funding issues, not your social qualms.
I kind of think that 590 is still too high anyway. Let's make it extremely competitive to get in, so that everyone who gets in automatically gets an R01.
I kind of think that 590 is still too high anyway. Let's make it extremely competitive to get in, so that everyone who gets in automatically gets an R01.
This discussion from back in March focused on possible cuts in MSTP slots due to budgetary constraints. However, there is another reason slots could be cut (in the longer term): because questions are being raised about the effectiveness of the program. Francis Collins (the NIH director) is aware of these questions, and there was a brief discussion at a recent meeting of his advisory board. I posted about this here (part 1) and here (part 2). Dr. Collins mentions "folks" raising questions; I kind of wonder who these are.Given that grant funding has been plummeting, it makes no sense to keep increasing the number of positions.
I stick by initial argument: cut all new positions by 1/2, give that money as bridge funding to those who have completed residency and seek to start their own labs (like me right now).
Given that grant funding has been plummeting, it makes no sense to keep increasing the number of positions.
I stick by initial argument: cut all new positions by 1/2, give that money as bridge funding to those who have completed residency and seek to start their own labs (like me right now).
I agree with you, but I would go further: I would cut ALL MSTP funding. Completely eliminate the programs altogether, then re-direct that money to pay off loans and startup grants/soft money salary for MDs doing postdocs and starting labs. To discourage people from pursuing research only until their loans were paid off, you could stretch the loan repayment out over 10-15 years. This is essentially what we are doing now: loan pre-payment, over a 15 year period with MSTP+PSTP funding. It would be more expensive per trainee, but fewer trainees, and less attrition.
I agree with you, but I would go further: I would cut ALL MSTP funding. Completely eliminate the programs altogether, then re-direct that money to pay off loans and startup grants/soft money salary for MDs doing postdocs and starting labs. To discourage people from pursuing research only until their loans were paid off, you could stretch the loan repayment out over 10-15 years. This is essentially what we are doing now: loan pre-payment, over a 15 year period with MSTP+PSTP funding. It would be more expensive per trainee, but fewer trainees, and less attrition.
Fencer, thanks for the information.I talked to FC about MD/PhD workforce a few months ago. The main questions been raised are with supporting PhD training in R01 grants, where the training plan is not described or considered. The MD/PhD workforce task force was formed and will provide recommendations, I suspect, within a year or so. If you look at the workforce documents for PhD training, only 39% of NIH training awardees are doing research years later. That also raised a lot of questions about the size of the PhD workforce. For MSTP supported students, they haven't published the same data with the same methodology. Skip Brass and a group of MD/PhD directors published a very supportive outcome data paper for MD/PhD students from a small group of MD/PhD programs including MSTP and few large non-MSTP, but outcomes were not segregated as to whether they had received NIH Training support (i.e.: MSTP T32, or F-30/31). In several outlets, they have indicated they will continue supporting the MSTP support at around 940 positions, but NIGMS/MSTP is planning to re-distribute some positions to a few additional non-MSTPs and to some MSTPs with less than 15 positions. I suspect that their expectation is to fund no more than 20% of size of each MSTP with the T32 mechanism. As disclosure bias, these might be my perceptions with my color glass (PD of large non-MSTP soon to be ready for MSTP).
Interesting. Thanks for the additional informaion.Like many MD/PhD directors, I did listen to the relevant portions of the last 2 NIH ACD's because there were important comments about workforce, training, and specifically, MSTP funding/redistribution. The AAMC GREAT sends frequent emails with news regarding this and related topics. FC seems interested in improving the training system. Another idea out there is to shift some of the T32 funding towards individual F30 awards. There are 940 T32 MSTP positions and about 414 F30 trainees. The problem as indicated earlier is not enough data to say that one mechanism was superior than the other. At least with the F30, the trainee gets to succeed on their first grant. Is that a better predictor of future R01? Honestly, we need data about the T32, F30 and F31 trainees as well as those not supported by these mechanisms. The late bloomer path (MD, with postdoc getting credit for PhD) is considerably more expensive at the individual level (higher cost for training + NIH loan repayment), but in the preliminary rounds more effective in generating faculty. It is unclear if it is better for R01s, or because of the older age (and greater personal responsibilities), whether trainees take less risky approaches or choose areas closer to their comfort level. Bottom line, we need more data as well as it is likely that one solution does not fit everybody. The question is whether the MSTP should be the preferred funding path as it is now. That is up for re-examination.
Like you, I have had several personal interactions with FC, and I agree that he was kind, thoughtful, and very nice despite of his intellect, achievements, experience, or position of power. He was very approachable particularly for the MD/PhD students.
Check this out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9JdORRUv9nw
Later that night, he provided the 2 hr concert for students including classic renditions of Beatles, Rolling Stones, etc. There are several dozens of other FC performances in youtube... FC sings
I'll give four brief examples based on MD-PhD graduates who went thought the program the same time I did and I knew personally:I've mostly interacted with MD/PhD who became professors, but what are the other paths that people take where the PhD isn't worth it? I've only heard rumours about investment banking and consulting, but those options sounded unappealing to me and my friends who are applying/have applied. Did the people who got rerouted originally want the faculty path?
I've mostly interacted with MD/PhD who became professors, but what are the other paths that people take where the PhD isn't worth it? I've only heard rumours about investment banking and consulting, but those options sounded unappealing to me and my friends who are applying/have applied. Did the people who got rerouted originally want the faculty path?
4. My good friend from college who went through the Harvard-MIT MSTP program, had a highly successful graduate project in a world-renowned molecular biology/immunology laboratory and, afterwards, never again got anywhere near a wet lab bench nor directed preclinical research nor applied for a grant.
Did the people who got rerouted originally want the faculty path?
In the spirit of grant doc's response, here's what happened to my (small) MD/PhD class:
1. Research pathway residency/fellowship in IM/Onc - Currently transitioning out of the lab into a .75 Clinical/.25 Clinical research position.
2. AP/NP at Columbia - Currently on faculty at Columbia, has a basic science lab studying neurodegenerative disorders
3. Derm at our program - Initially went fancy PP but after a couple of years of "all botox all the time" went back to academics and is now 50/50 teaching faculty/clinical research
4. Derm at our program - PP derm in NYC
5. Community radiology program - PP Rads
6. Ophto followed by neuro-optho fellowship - No idea what happened to this person
7. Neurosurg @ CCF followed by (IIRC) a peds neurosurg fellowship - No idea what happened to this person either...probably still in training even though he finished a couple of years ahead of me