A bad LOR will generally result in no interview. Why waste an interview slot on someone whose warts are visible before the interview invitation is issued?
What if it's just a not-so-good-LOR? Not bad enough to totally sink the applicant but bad enough to hurt him? And what if the school in question has a low average MCAT? Don't you think they'd be tempted to interview him because he's desirable except for that horrible LOR from a professor who may or may not know the applicant well?
I dunno, that's my guess. I don't think the LOR writer wrote "To the best of my knowledge, OnlyNeedsOneYes raped a girl 2 years ago and was never arrested for it," but he may have written something slightly disparaging.
My theory is that schools have to compromise
somewhere with their applicants. If they didn't, every school would have a 45T average MCAT, 4.0 GPA, and every applicant would be required to save several babies in Africa before entering. I'm guessing sometimes schools compromise in terms of the apparent motivation of the applicant, and sometimes in their academic record and, sometimes in their ECs and well, wherever they feel like they might be able to cut corners.
Waitlisting generally means that the applicant doesn't have a fatal flaw but just isn't as good as "the best".
Yeah, but some schools waitlist everybody or nearly everybody so that they can keep their options open...If I were an Adcom, I'd certainly want to keep my options open with a guy who had a 39 MCAT and nearly a 4.0. I imagine that post-interview more people get waitlisted than rejected, especially after having made the effort to drive or fly to School X.
Some schools will be willing to talk with you after the cycle is over if you have no offers at all. This winnows the waitlisted and rejected to a manageable group and some admissions offices will make time to give an honest appraisal to former applicants who are preparing to reapply. It is 5 months too early to ask for assistance on reapplying.
I'm sure it's hard to get a school to talk about the status of your application and how the review has gone, but possibly someone, somewhere will be willing to talk to the applicant and let him know what's going on with his application. That's what I'm thinking. People like to talk. My interviewers have been fairly candid with me about the strengths and weaknesses of my application.
I dunno. I figured it was worth a shot to ask. And it probably can't hurt. The worst thing that happens is that OnlyNeedsOneYes is exactly where he was before.