Summary for those who don't want to read my whole post.
1) 3000 extra slots/yr from 2013 to 2017 of which at least 1500/yr will be in shortage specialties designated by a study by US Department of Health and Human Services.
2) Just looking at the graphs provided in the study we get this:
a) All medicine subspecialties are included
b) Gen surg, optho, ortho, ENT, urology, anesthesiology (technically even though the difference is only 500), path, psych, rads, family practice,
c) peds and non-specialty im are actually going to be over supplied by 2020 according to the study.
So there's obviously a plan to create many non primary care residencies. Sounds like good news to me.
Copy and paste from the Senate Bill:
(i) IN GENERAL- For each of fiscal years 2013 through 2017 (and succeeding fiscal years if the Secretary determines that there are additional residency positions available to distribute under clause (iii)(II)), the Secretary shall increase the otherwise applicable resident limit for each qualifying hospital that submits a timely application under this subparagraph by such number as the Secretary may approve for portions of cost reporting periods occurring on or after July 1 of the fiscal year of the increase. Except as provided in clause (iii), the aggregate number of increases in the otherwise applicable resident limit under this subparagraph shall be equal to 3,000 in each of fiscal years 2013 through 2017, of which at least 1,500 in each such fiscal year shall be used for full-time equivalent residents training in a shortage specialty residency program (as defined in subparagraph (F)(iii)).
This defines what a "shortage specialty" is.
(I) PRIOR TO REPORT ON SHORTAGE SPECIALTIES- Prior to the date on which the report of the National Health Care Workforce Commission is submitted under section 3 of the Resident Physician Shortage Reduction Act of 2011, any approved residency training program in a specialty identified in the report entitled The Physician Workforce: Projections and Research into Current Issues Affecting Supply and Demand, issued in December 2008 by the Health Resources and Services Administration, as a specialty whose baseline physician requirements projections exceed the projected supply of total active physicians for the period of 2005 through 2020.
(II) AFTER REPORT ON SHORTAGE SPECIALITIES- On or after the date on which the report of the National Health Care Workforce Commission is submitted under such section, any approved residency training program in a physician specialty identified in such report as a specialty for which there is a shortage..
Now we can debate the validity of this study but the fact is, that's what the law is going off and regardless of accuracy it's the best predictor of how these residencies will be distributed. There's also a bunch of other crap in there but I only looked at the specialty surplus/shortage part.