USMLE Predicting My Score

[chlorophylls]

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Hi everyone,

Long time lurker here... I've been reading lots of threads comparing scores on various assessments with real Step 1 outcomes, but I've gotten mixed information. I wondered if you could provide some feedback on my personal scores so I can stop trying to figure this out using other people's data.

Here is my information:
59% average on UWorld, timed (74% complete), random systems as I studied them, then just random after I did all the systems once...my averages have been going up a little lately but it's hard to change the cumulative average at this point.
72% on the free 150 - seems to predict a 220
221 predicted score on UWSA 1
219 predicted score on UWSA 2

I plan to do an NBME exam early this week, and obviously study more, and then my test is on 6/1.

I'd be okay with a 220, obviously I would love a bit higher, but I'm not aiming for anything competitive and I haven't been a star student all along so I wasn't expecting a fantastic score.

I just want to know if these scores are predictive, and if I can feel fairly confident about getting a 220 on test day, or if I'm going to get rocked by the real test.

Could you please share your thoughts?

Thank you!

 

[Polymyxin]

http://clinicalreview.com/ClinicalReview/resources/usmle-score-calculator.html

 

[Ismet]

What's your UWorld average for the last 10 or so blocks you've done? My early block scores drag my cumulative percentage down too, but the average from my last 15-20 blocks is dramatically higher than the cumulative average and it gives a better estimate of where you are now.

Take an NBME as soon as possible so you can figure out how to attack the last week of studying. The UWSAs tend to over-predict, especially UWSA2.