Predicting Step-1 scores

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Melkor

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I imagine no one has a definitive answer for this but as I have started school this year, I was just wondering if there was any possible way to predict a step 1 score range based on anything about first/second year (like class percentile + avg study hours per week). I'm aiming for a semi-competitive residency (at least for right now) and over the next few months would love some way to be able to track my progress (without actually taking mini step 1 tests). Really I guess I am just trying to find out how much I need to kill myself during the next 2 years to get a competitive score and/or find some basic way to gauge my overall progress so I can determine if I need to start putting in more/ better hours of studying. Again, probably not an answer to this, but thought I would ask nonetheless.
 
Nope, no way to really predict. It depends on your school, your curriculum, the competition at your school, whether or not your school teaches to the boards, etc etc etc. Some people have a lower class rank and rock the boards, some have a higher rank and tank.

I think you are worrying overly much this early on assuming you are a first year. Just do the best that you can without overdoing it and call it good. Noone can tell you if you study 65 hours a week you will rock the boards. Just do what you can and study as hard as you can and live with no regrets. Don't be the guy who wished he studied just a little bit harder so that he had more options.
 
Just understand the big picture. I'm in the bottom quarter of my class, didn't stress myself too much over tests and minute detail but ended up doing ~70th percentile on COMLEX using minimal (only First Aid and Savarese) for boards. Don't stress, just try to understand the big picture, and more importantly the clinical picture. You won't get as much of that first year, however, but it will make more sense second year.
 
Study hard everyday, master the basics, ask questions, get help. Know and understand all the little pieces, and the puzzle will come together fast on the big day.
 
Just understand the big picture. I'm in the bottom quarter of my class, didn't stress myself too much over tests and minute detail but ended up doing ~70th percentile on COMLEX using minimal (only First Aid and Savarese) for boards. Don't stress, just try to understand the big picture, and more importantly the clinical picture. You won't get as much of that first year, however, but it will make more sense second year.

Agree with this. The big picture is what matters. I also didnt stress myself out over each test, was consistently a B/B+ student and scored >90%-tile on all steps so far. Only Level 3 left.
 
In our curriculum, it's pretty consistant that GPA in the Basic Sciences (NOT OMM) classes accurately predicts COMLEX performance. But basically, if you're an 80+ student, you'll do fine. If you're at the bottom of the Class (say, 70-75), then you'll probably have trouble.

You get out of a medical school what you put into it. So if you want that nice residency, work for it!
 
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I imagine no one has a definitive answer for this but as I have started school this year, I was just wondering if there was any possible way to predict a step 1 score range based on anything about first/second year (like class percentile + avg study hours per week). I'm aiming for a semi-competitive residency (at least for right now) and over the next few months would love some way to be able to track my progress (without actually taking mini step 1 tests). Really I guess I am just trying to find out how much I need to kill myself during the next 2 years to get a competitive score and/or find some basic way to gauge my overall progress so I can determine if I need to start putting in more/ better hours of studying. Again, probably not an answer to this, but thought I would ask nonetheless.

this study may hold a few of the answers you're searching for
 

I really can't see how this study could be accurate today. What were the students who scheduled the exam later doing for 2 months? Seems unreasonable to argue that more study time equates to less preparedness.

This struck a cord for me because this is a huge issue at my school where we get 2 weeks of dedicated study time. . . according to this study I should be thankful for this. For some reason I don't feel that way.
 
I really can't see how this study could be accurate today. What were the students who scheduled the exam later doing for 2 months? Seems unreasonable to argue that more study time equates to less preparedness.

This struck a cord for me because this is a huge issue at my school where we get 2 weeks of dedicated study time. . . according to this study I should be thankful for this. For some reason I don't feel that way.

I'm not sure you interpreted it correctly.. The data shows that the average score is statistically significantly lower for people who only study 2 weeks compared to 4-6 weeks.
 
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