Is the overabundance like medicine where only the coasts and other big cities are oversaturated, or is it more of a national overcrowding?
While everybody wishes there were less ODs from the perspective that each of us would be better off. All of this talk of oversaturation of the optometric market is constantly talked about without any data. Some data that has already been presented but I think is very interesting can be found here
http://bhpr.hrsa.gov/healthworkforce/reports/factbook02/FB502.htm
As you can see there have been no new schools opening since 1981
that is 26 years!
Having seen all of this woe is me talk about the state of optometry on the forums lately I decided to do just a little research to see if the facts matched up with the perception. So I went to the Census website to look up a few numbers.
In 1988 there were a total of 37,000 optometrists in the USA.
http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/2003/spring/art01.pdf
In 1998 there were still a total of 37,000 optometrists in the USA
http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/2000/spring/art01.pdf
In 2000 the number was 38,000 ODs
http://www.bls.gov/opub/ooq/2003/spring/art01.pdf
And in 2004 you guessed it still around the same between 34,000 and 39,000 ODs depending on whose numbers you look at.
Notice that in each case the government estimates that there will be an increase in the number of ODs but in each case the numbers tend to remain stable. The number of dentists on the other hand has actually decreased slightly, more than likely due to a reduction in the number of schools.
In conclusion (ignoring that some parts of the country may be completely oversaturated) if there are too many ODs today then there were FAR too many in 1988.
AND from another source
http://bhpr.hrsa.gov/healthworkforce...0Chiropractors
Regardless, if you refer to table 101, you will notice that the number of ODs per population has not increased out of step with the rest of the increase per popluation of other healthcare practitioners. According to your cited study, there are only 30 percent more ODs per 100,000 people since 1970, compare that to a 79.8 percent increase in MDs a 119% increase in RNs per person since 1970. In fact even dentists have grown more than ODs 30.5 percent more dentists per person today than in 1970. Those facts taken in addition to the increase in the number of female ODs... and female health care providers across the board (Who will be much more likely to work part time
based purely on statistics), go to show that the situation is not nearly as dire as some people on this board would lead you to believe. Certainly we would be much better off if there were all of the sudden half the number of ODs were gone, and maybe in some parts of the country conditions are more bleak than they are in others, but in general the numbers are in our favor.
Not only that, the number of ODs graduating per year has stayed very stable in the past 25 years refer to table 105 and you might think the number is increasing, but add last year and the year before as data points and you will notice that it is not increasing that rapidly. In 1980-81 1249 ODs graduated in 1991-1992 1355 ODs graduated, in 2000 the number was 1384. In 2005 1251 ODs graduated, about the same as the number that graduated in 1980. Once again the numbers are not quite as out of control as some would have you believe.