Stagg, I don't know what your political predilections are, and I am definitely taking things out of context, so don't consider this necessarily disagreeing with you. This is more for me to get my thoughts out.
I think the current administration, and now christian-nationalist/technocrat/neomonarchist/oligarchic (aka MAGA) approach is to make the government
as small as possible, and it is therefore believable that one end point is for private business to handle SMI and MH... which of course won't go well, because the intuition that the invisible hand will help people who would... probably die without a safety net... is wrong.
I suspect things get real bad, and if the current administration successfully
pulls a fast one on the citizenry (by bribing w/ $5,000 dollar Trump checks, focusing on the woke crisis which is not actually existential but feels serious because "they're trying to make us all trans-marxists!", stunts like "saving astronauts from Biden", calling judges "politicians", etc), and they win the midterms, we're talking about
decades of suffering that will fundamentally change everything. Other countries can't trust us anymore, and our government has convinced the US voting block that the biggest issue... the reason everything is difficult right now... is race, abortion, and gender.
Maybe they keep SSRIs around, maybe they defund psychiatry and Jeff Bezos convinces
these immoral crooks our leadership that Amazon One will make the world healthier if they remove the "red tape" that currently organizes our mental health
institutions bureaucracies, and you get events like this
where Amazon says their virtual healthcare is superior despite an obvious death via negligent care. Bezos was right behind Trump, next to Elon, on inauguration day. Do we really think the pharmaceutical lobbies, physician lobbies, and hospital lobbies can beat the organization, willpower, and scheming, of a handful of billionaires? Collective action struggles in the short term versus someone with minimal values and a love of money/power. That is why America was the shining city on the hill: a small group of aristocrats put the power back in the hands of the people.
I suspect our wards and panels either get overrun by unsolvable problems, or we get kicked out of our seat; either way, things aren't looking peachy. Our new administration, and those who work so readily with him, are disconnected from everyday Americans in every way, and they are making decisions for all of us, patients and physicians alike. RFK straight faced drinks methylene blue while robbing the good common people of America, framing it as "just asking questions" and "Europe bans food coloring" and then simultaneously abandoning Europe as an ally. We need to call it for what it is at this point, there is no catastrophizing, because when it gets to physicians, the rest of America will be in dire straights. There is too much to lose, and we probably will have to lose a lot before people start waking up.
TLDR: My point is this: if we (antiMAGA) don't win the midterms, things will likely become unrecognizable. Question is: will MAGA propaganda work enough to convince people that it is still Biden's fault in the 2026 midterms (see: race, gender, abortion (aka sex))? Will it already be too late given
concerted government actions to undermine democracy and implement the wet dream of the Heritage Foundation? Or will things be that bad already that it is undeniable Trump is a major ****, and then the pendulum swings hard the other way.