So lets assume that you move to another state and wait a year. Right off the bat you lose one year's salary which is easily $120,000 if you say you lose your first year's salary, and at least $220,000 if you say you lose your last year's salary. There is never anything close to a guarantee that you will get into your state school and say you get into your cheapest private or out of state back up you will pay at least $300,000 + the lost year of salary is $420,000 in total opportunity cost. Plus the fact that if you reject your offer this year you may never get another offer from another school, or even the same school again and may lose out on your dream job and be forever bitter.
My suggestion look into:
1. income based repayment which you pay 15% of your income for 25 years max towards your loans and then get the rest forgiven which counts as taxable income
2. Public service loan forgiveness with IBR, in which you work for a non-profit or govt agency for 10 years while making ibr payments and all remaining loans are forgiven tax free
3. Armed forces (4 years for 4 years)
4. Moving to a high income state
5. Specializing where your income will be at least $250,000 per year in most fields (if not change states)
Leaving would be a very poor decision if you didn't consider all of the options and consequences of that very very large decision. Those thoughts are why I didn't give up my offer last year, it still seems like the right call now.
Don't forget though that nothing is guaranteed. Do you have personal experience with the job market in the SOCAL area? I have heard from quite a few people that it is horrible for dentists there, extremely oversaturated. This WILL affect how much you make your first few years out.
1. You have no experience. You have no bargaining power for jobs, you have no (or few) connections or family in the business and worst of all, you don't have a patient base to build your practice on. This does not generally bode well for first year dentists.
2. What does he have guaranteed at this point? Nothing really except a spot in the dental school. But you do have guaranteed a HUGE monkey of a loan on your back. USC is just plain too expensive. I'm sure that the school is fine, but that is WAY too much money to be paying to go to school. It's almost half a million dollars. The government should not allow you to take out loans for almost a half million dollars. I'm going to call it right now- the student loan bubble will burst in the next 5 years and then tuition will go back down. Current levels of educational costs vs job market outlooks are just NOT SUSTAINABLE, even for dentists.
Have you looked at repayment for a loan that size!!!!???? Go run the numbers; if you pay that puppy back over
20 years at 6.8, your loan repayment will be around $4500 a month ($42,000 a year!!!!) $42,000 a year for 20 years. I'll go ahead and say that again- buy yourself a corvette every year for twenty years with the money you spent to go to school!!!
And don't forget uncle sam is going to take his cut too. You may net $150,000 in earnings, but you're only going to see $120,000 of that (filing jointly;
http://www.moneychimp.com/features/tax_brackets.htm).
Now subtract your student loans and you're left at $78,000. What does it cost to be a dentist you ask? Well tack on professional insurance, disability insurance, life insurance (because you can't afford NOT to live with that big ass loan on your back), and just go ahead and take away about another $5000 a year. What about life's other expenses? Car insurance, home insurance, hell, maybe even a mortgage (but I doubt anyone could afford to buy a house in SOCAL now even in the dumps housing market) and you've got a net-take-home-out-the-door-money-at-your-fingertips value probably not much more than what you may be bringing home now.
Yes, the way you spin the numbers, it makes it sound like not going would be an unwise decision, but I think you should look more closely.
The OP has good stats (3.7, 21 AA) and already got into 3 other schools but didn't go because of living reasons, so I think his chances of getting into another school would be excellent.
And on a side note, I wouldn't rely upon the likes of the SDN population to let you decide to take out a loan for $400K- most of us (not me of course) are not even in dental school yet (the above poster is of course), but the ultimate decision is up to you. If you run the numbers, I think you would agree that going to another school at a mu
👍ch more reasonable cost of around $200,000 or less would be ideal. Go to the cheapest school you can get into in the list in my signature below. See page 20.