Saw this on Twitter:
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I remember when I applied, I was also thinking of dual applying to medicine as a back up. I applied to the majority of the programs. After submitting my application, I was anxiously waiting for the interviews to come in. After each invite, a slight sigh of relief. The stat I remembered was 95% chance of getting into rad onc if you get at 9 interviews, so a slightly bigger sigh of relief at that point. I went on 10 interviews and was still a nervous wreck on Match Day, thinking about what I would have to do in my gap year if I didn't match.
Now this person, I know nothing about - could have amazing stats or crap stats, but either way - they are confident they will become a rad onc before getting even one interview. Not saying this person is cocky, but more a reflection of how the times have changed!