I know people think of me being a MDACC/Ben Smith apologist, but let's at least attempt objectivity - nobody batted an eye in 2010. We certainly know that everybody likes a villain. The stuff with that department pushing out of town visitors to get treatment in Houston is icky. Saying that
@OTN can't handle left sided breast treatment is reprehensible (I have no reason to believe he would make this up). Etc. etc. But, in 2009-2010, things were looking good. Whoever graduated around that time and stayed in community practice is probably still doing pretty well (I would say I'm in that group).
I graduated that year. We read it in the resident's office. It made sense to us, from what we saw in clinic. Even after 2004 CALGB publication, omission was quite uncommon. I presented Whelan at our faculty meeting as a resident and the vast majority of staff were not comfortable with 16 Fx treatment. Everyone (>99% of patients) were still giving 44 fx for prostate (even after 28 fx was shown to be a potential option; I think
@Gfunk6 was one of the earlier adopters in my orbit). Many centers could not see patients fast enough and centers were opening up like crazy. People were doing very well and there was no thought that the bottom was going to fall out.
Not one person said anything at the time. "Anonymous" people on Twitter keep saying "we knew it, we knew it". Did you? Why would you hold back this information? If you had such certainty about this, why not post? I've been on SDN since undergrad probably. So have many other posters. They just forgot to say "The world is actually burning, Ben has it wrong"? We talk about everything important in RO here, but just ignored that completely?
Hypo, surveillance, omission, consolidation - we all knew this was possible, but based on clinical practice at the time, not a soul pushed back on the paper. In the last 6-8 years, history has been revised that "Everyone knew there was an issue, what a flawed article, blah blah blah, Ben Smith ruined the world and made airline travel, terrible, too!" Come on - look at the threads from 2010 here - we saw a lot coming, but no one said anything at the time of the publication of how bad it could even potentially get.
I will concede: in retrospect, that article had many flaws that no one pointed out and at the end of the day was WILDLY incorrect.
Yet, nobody published a rebuttal or a re-do - except ... the author himself in 2016. OOPS. We can't get people to admit they are full of **** on this forum when they make an error or a lie (even when caught). He publicly says, "I bungled this - we really need to re-evaluate". Yes, this is of little value to many of you and that's fine. But, think about what it takes to do that. What would be the motivation to correct an error? Nobody does that in this day and age.
It is very easy to play Monday Morning Quarterback, 5 years after the game, after you studied the tapes and media reports and interviewed the players.
HOT TAKE: Prediction of past events has high likelihood of accuracy.