shotgun method!
Little harder to predict than JUSt numbers, but here's a few addt'l ways to predict rejections:
(1) state residency,
(2) research vs. primary-orientation schools,
(3) life-experience vs. stats schools
9V-11-11 3 labs research, loads of leadership/teaching/life experience.
Georgetown, Stanford, U of Florida, Mayo Clinic, U of South Florida, UCSF, U of Chicago, U of Pittsburgh
Those are the 8 of 14 schools that have either interviewed or rejected me outright (harvard, yale, cornell, northwestern, chapel hill, virginia pending). Can you guess which three were the rejections?
look at the one LONG accepted, wait, reject thread for specifics on people, many of us posted there; including the answer to the above question
good luck, kreno and keep asking questions.