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I work for a large corporate EM entity (EmCare) and they firmly believe that we will be looking at an across the board shortage of EPs in the coming decades. Their reasoning is that there is a fairly static number of graduates every year (~1300) and that the attrition from the boomer aged docs leaving will be ~3000/yr for several years. So it's likely that all positions, academic and private practice, will be looking for docs.I'll be an entering MS1 this fall, and I think it's great they have this forum. I've worked as a "Scribe" the last couple years in Fresno, and have really enjoyed my time working with the ER Docs. I had a couple questions:
1. Is there a shortage of EMP's at academic centers for teaching/research? I'm just curious how competitive the academic environment is.
2. What are your takes on the proposed universal healthcare plans? I'm specifically interested in how a universal plan would affect reimbursement for Emergency docs.
Thanks for your help, I look forward to being a regular reader.
Any kind of universal health care will result in lower pay for EPs. If the plans work then they will divert a lot of the primary care type patients to more appropriate venues. If they don't work and start becoming financially insolvent they'll just reduce reimbursements.
Just for the sake of disclosure I'm philosophically opposed to socialized medicine (and socialism in general) but at this point I'd accept it if it really eliminated the med mal issues we have now.
One real concern I have about the logistics of universal care is that when we have rationing people will try to circumvent the rations by going to the ER just like HMO patients do now. Consequently the burden of denying care and explaining why grandpa can't have a CABG when he's 88 will fall to us. Just look at how more and more of the CMS Core Measures issues are being dumped on the ED. The same will happen with any unsavory aspects of universal care.