USMLE Rx score prediction

[cbrons]

Is the USMLERx score predictor even remotely accurate? I've been doing a block per day (25 qs in the morning, 25 in the evening) for a month and a half now (maybe a couple days breaks in there sometimes) and it has my
Predicted USMLE Performance 248 ( +/-20 for the 95% CI).

Which I am having a very hard time believing. But there is also this from the USMLERx company on its accuracy as well: https://www.usmle-rx.com/benefits/predictive-actual-usmle-performance

I could believe I am probably somewhere over 220, but I highly, highly doubt it is anywhere near 248 lol.

Still just wanted to get people's experience with it and whether or not it was in any way predictive.

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[animando]

In this prospective cohort study, 26 U.S. medical students ...

My first thought was ... LOL. I also noted they failed to register their study at https://clinicaltrials.gov/

 

[BlueJay25]

Agreed, with only 26 students... I wouldn't take their score correlation too seriously. I'd be using NBMEs as a reliable score predictor.

 

[Ophthoseidon]

The small study even seems to be unreliable. They say 80% of the scores fall within the range. The score predictor on their site gives you +/- 20. Thats a 40 point range and they're only right 80% of the time haha.

 

[NoLollipops4U]

I finished Rx at the end of Dec with 75% and it predicted 250 I think? Anyways, I took an old NBME right after Rx and got 210......so take the prediction with a grain of salt

 

[W19]

I am doing these Rx questions right now for path/pharm/micro and my average is 71%... If step 1 is a lot harder than that stuff, I guess I am fvcked!

 

[Postictal Raiden]

I am doing these Rx questions right now for path/pharm/micro and my average is 71%... If step 1 is a lot harder than that stuff, I guess I am fvcked!

Unless you are doing only the easy ones, 71% is good...or at least that's what I hope

 

[masaraksh]

Yeah, I've done a few 44q sets now and sitting on a <70 avg. holy **** and I am guessing and marking SOOO many

 

[W19]

Unless you are doing only the easy ones, 71% is good...or at least that's what I hope

I always select easy/medium/hard... I was thinking there was a disconnect between my score in Rx/Kaplan and what I am getting in school.. getting 80s in my school exams while getting 58% in Kaplan and 71% in Rx... Getting crushed by Kaplan...

I also do Lippincott's patho/pharm...

 

[Postictal Raiden]

I always select easy/medium/hard... I was thinking there was a disconnect between my score in Rx/Kaplan and what I am getting in school.. getting 80s in my school exams while getting 58% in Kaplan and 71% in Rx... Getting crushed by Kaplan...

I also do Lippincott's patho/pharm...

I get 90's on my exams and I'm getting crushed by Rx questions. I don't really care about my performance because I think of Rx as a learning tool, not as an assessment tool. I'm planning to do multiple passes. I also started using Rx flash facts. They are very good, imo.

 

[W19]

I get 90's on my exams and I'm getting crushed by Rx questions. I don't really care about my performance because I think of Rx as a learning tool, not as an assessment tool. I'm planning to do multiple passes. I also started using Rx flash facts. They are very good, imo.

The flashcard on my subscription expired and I am not huge on flashcard anyway... Maybe it is something I should try. I'll see if I can reactivate it.