USMLE UWSA - how much did it over or under predict?

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Barbarossa2015

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A lot say it over predicts, some say it is spot on or under predicts. Let's make this thread and let it be the ultimate database. I will then use the data to make a chart and settle it once in and for all.

I will start:

UWSA #1: 221 (9 week out)
UWSA #2: 232 (2 days out)

Real NBME: 230.
 
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