I don’t think the 4% withdrawal would still apply in 5 years but I would like to hear other opinions
For the last 15 years, US was able to print its way out. Now with $33T in debt and debt outgrowing gdp at a fast pace, the money printing machine has finally run out of ink
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The world is also changing fast. It has become a bipolar world. US can’t dictate what it wants anymore.
I doubt the stock market will have the same 8-9% annual growth going forward. We should be prepared for much slower growth, even stagnation.
You won’t be able to depend on the stock market for early retirement. You would also need a steady monthly source of income like rents or income from a side business.