Options and real estate wedlock - a beginner level trade on a real estate backed asset

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Is this

Is this your new model you are trying out and are those returns what the model would have done for the past 5 years?

This is diff than your Engine 10 & 15.
Yes, that's an Astra trained model using P123 proprietary engine. For whatever reason, I can only equal the P123 engine if I do everything independently but if I actually use the engine, I can dramatically enhance it. It kind of baffles me to be honest.

Oh, the Astra model trades weekly. I can post its output in here if anyone's interested. I don't trust it well enough yet to trade it.
 
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AIPO
GRID

Analyzing next year. I think AI gains will be more modest. I'm wondering if industrials, specifically power and grid sleeve will start to shine. These might be two ETFs to start tracking.

Industrials are just as much a part of the AI buildout as semis but haven't been fully capitalized. Less of the multiple. I think next year we might need to start keeping our eyes on that sector/AI industrial sub sector. Those will be my two ETFs to start tracking.
 
Work just gave me unlimited tokens for Opus 5.5

Tempting to do stock stuff with it but I'm at unlimited for a reason

I hit our weekly wall by using my appeal writing agents. I was doing okay with usage for inpatient auths, but my post-acute appeals involve digesting 700 page charts and that burns tokens like no tomorrow
 
Work just gave me unlimited tokens for Opus 5.5

Tempting to do stock stuff with it but I'm at unlimited for a reason

I hit our weekly wall by using my appeal writing agents. I was doing okay with usage for inpatient auths, but my post-acute appeals involve digesting 700 page charts and that burns tokens like no tomorrow
someone build this man a bespoke anti-insurance data center!
 
NVDA breakout attempt on 52 week high.

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Work just gave me unlimited tokens for Opus 5.5

Tempting to do stock stuff with it but I'm at unlimited for a reason

I hit our weekly wall by using my appeal writing agents. I was doing okay with usage for inpatient auths, but my post-acute appeals involve digesting 700 page charts and that burns tokens like no tomorrow
I'm using Opus 5.5 this morning and am more and more impressed with it. I'm also giving it greater control over my computer and network. Unlimited tokens? Sheesh, I'd go nuts. Fable tokenization is just horrendous. I keep hearing rumors they have a Fable 5.5 ready to release around the IPO.

I can def see where your line of work would be so primed to take advantage of this type of technology. Good for you in leveraging it.
 
Is this

Is this your new model you are trying out and are those returns what the model would have done for the past 5 years?

This is diff than your Engine 10 & 15.

In fact, I've got probably 120 hours into it right now. I'm constantly having it refine every day. This morning's example:

1791291200309.png


The nice thing with Astra is that you don't have to be sitting here and interacting with chat every 5 mins like before. It will go off and work for 20-45 mins sometimes. I spend about 10 mins reading over the research and making sure it's not drifting. Occasionally, it drifts and you have to re-orient like a ship at sea and away it goes again. Lots of data crunching and backtesting but once you train it up, you don't have to repeat the data again and I'm having it save everything in a readable repository designed that another AI can assume the work instead of having to do the same things all over again. I intend to get it to an optimal state and then split it into a Claude Fable fork and a Super Grok Heavy fork. Have those AI do their own enhancing and then bring it back to Astra for opinion/learning.

If I'm at work, the app links to my computer and I can re-steer or initiate continued analysis with just a word and push of a button so it's constantly working even if I'm not there.
 
Happy ATH day to those who celebrate.

I was playing with my work 401/403 space, which is basically in 90% broad equity funds, and 10% in bond funds. I activated fidelity brockeragelink on these, so I could have a wider assortment of options, specifically as I'm not too giddy about the bond funds available, and was hoping for some more tax-advantaged space to play with alternative investments.

Interestingly, one of the accounts allows me to buy DBMF, so I move my 10% bond allocation into that; the other bans such alternative investments (rules of the 403b I suspect), but does allow some near-equivalents like the mutual fund AQMIX.

Thoughts on AQMIX or other non-correlated interesting things that would be advantageous to have in a tax-protected space?

My plan going forward was to have my 401/403 contributions go into 80% broad equity funds q2wk, and have 20% shunted to my brockerage link for me to play with in a more fine-tuned manner.
 
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Celebrate!!!!

I have been hitting ATHs for the past month with the rise of MU/AI. My 3 biggest accounts are up YTD 60%, 50%, and 15%. Can't complain about 15% but held onto Tsla too long before moving it from my #1 to #5 holding. I am right at the tipping point of a 7 figure appreciation YTD.
Nice! I only noticed today was ATH personally b/c my combined holdings in my main brokerage hit a nice round number for the first time. I'd been dancing just under said number since mid-August.

Also up about 7 figure YTD in those accounts... the "boring" majority are up say 15-17% YTD [SP500 is 14.5% a time of writing], and the aggressive slices are up about 70% (main one), and 25% (more recent addition).

Waiting for it all to come crashing down lol
 
Nice! I only noticed today was ATH personally b/c my combined holdings in my main brokerage hit a nice round number for the first time. I'd been dancing just under said number since mid-August.

Also up about 7 figure YTD in those accounts... the "boring" majority are up say 15-17% YTD [SP500 is 14.5% a time of writing], and the aggressive slices are up about 70% (main one), and 25% (more recent addition).

Waiting for it all to come crashing down lol

Up 7 figures? Damn you guys are killing it. Very impressive.

Im still kind of confused how i went from 2.9M net worth on June 30th to 3.4M October 6th

Half a million gain in 3 months 6 days….

What in this world just happened?!?!?!
 
Up 7 figures? Damn you guys are killing it. Very impressive.

Im still kind of confused how i went from 2.9M net worth on June 30th to 3.4M October 6th

Half a million gain in 3 months 6 days….

What in this world just happened?!?!?!
Well everything is up, so us olds just have the benefit of more chips in play at the casino 😉
 
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By which I mean, SP500 is up 15% ytd, so if you have roughly 6.5mil tracking that you are up a mil.

****ing compounding. 🤯

You old timers lived through the good days of medicine and got to enjoy the longest bull run from 2009 to now.

I wish i had money in 2009 and wasn’t broke and eating ramen noodles.
 
By which I mean, SP500 is up 15% ytd, so if you have roughly 6.5mil tracking that you are up a mil.

****ing compounding. 🤯
Time and money is what this game is all about. Give me a 20 year old guy who throws it in an index than a 50 year old guy who can pick the best mutual fund for 20 yrs.

My goal is to have 8 figures in equities/funds in the next 1-2 yrs.
 
Can I just say I’m f-ing proud of all of us in this thread for building wealth and avoiding the American pitfall of spending more than you earn? It’s worth saying. We’re ALL winning in this thread.

Honestly…i don’t even understand where the stigma that doctors are terrible with money comes from.

All of the younger docs at least are all aggressively investing in index funds, they’ve all read WCI or have some degree of financial education.

I’m yet to meet a doc whose spending 300-400k a year, living pay check to pay check. Seems like an unfair stigma we carry.
 
Honestly…i don’t even understand where the stigma that doctors are terrible with money comes from.

All of the younger docs at least are all aggressively investing in index funds, they’ve all read WCI or have some degree of financial education.

I’m yet to meet a doc whose spending 300-400k a year, living pay check to pay check. Seems like an unfair stigma we carry.
You'd be surprised. I can think of 2 docs in my current group that are literally over 70 and working as FTEs. One of them has to work 7 overnights this month and swings to days then back to nights over the course of 2 weeks. The other guy freely admits that he doesn't have enough saved due to a divorce and "giving it all away to my kids", etc.. One doc from my old group...we had to pull him off the schedule at 75 because his health was just failing and he started not showing up for shifts or could barely make it through one. He had several divorces. Divorce without a prenup is probably the number one threat to any physician or high earner unless they are married to a spouse with commensurate earning potential.

Another thing I've noticed during my career are so many docs that think they are just as good at business vs practicing medicine. Half blow up their savings on a bad business venture. Half end up pulling it off.

What's got me mystified are the new grads who are increasingly scaling back right out of residency working 0.8/0.6FTE, etc.. Most say they are "burned out" right out of residency or seem less interested in money/savings and more interested in quality of life. All that is perfectly fine of course but I'm not sure how things will turn out for them because if they are truly burned out, how do they expect to work a full career? (Which they will no doubt have to do since they are only working 0.8FTE). Then you factor in the lost savings from working hard those first few years out and piling it away for compounding.
 
You'd be surprised. I can think of 2 docs in my current group that are literally over 70 and working as FTEs. One of them has to work 7 overnights this month and swings to days then back to nights over the course of 2 weeks. The other guy freely admits that he doesn't have enough saved due to a divorce and "giving it all away to my kids", etc.. One doc from my old group...we had to pull him off the schedule at 75 because his health was just failing and he started not showing up for shifts or could barely make it through one. He had several divorces. Divorce without a prenup is probably the number one threat to any physician or high earner unless they are married to a spouse with commensurate earning potential.

Another thing I've noticed during my career are so many docs that think they are just as good at business vs practicing medicine. Half blow up their savings on a bad business venture. Half end up pulling it off.

What's got me mystified are the new grads who are increasingly scaling back right out of residency working 0.8/0.6FTE, etc.. Most say they are "burned out" right out of residency or seem less interested in money/savings and more interested in quality of life. All that is perfectly fine of course but I'm not sure how things will turn out for them because if they are truly burned out, how do they expect to work a full career? (Which they will no doubt have to do since they are only working 0.8FTE). Then you factor in the lost savings from working hard those first few years out and piling it away for compounding.
Hey easy now. I’m scaling back to 0.8 FTE at 5 years out to spend more time with my wife and young/baby kids and I’ll still be building $150k/yr in equity. Granted my wife works full time (non physician 9-5). If you can swing it, why not?

Though maybe you are talking about literally RIGHT out of residency which is insane. The full-time attending schedule is a dream compared to residency.
 
Honestly…i don’t even understand where the stigma that doctors are terrible with money comes from.

All of the younger docs at least are all aggressively investing in index funds, they’ve all read WCI or have some degree of financial education.

I’m yet to meet a doc whose spending 300-400k a year, living pay check to pay check. Seems like an unfair stigma we carry.
I see many more mid-career docs that are trapped in lifestyle than young docs.
 
All that is perfectly fine of course but I'm not sure how things will turn out for them because if they are truly burned out, how do they expect to work a full career?

They work a few years as an attending and then work in jammies from basement in UM

God willing, there will be a nap today

On a serious note, at least in my local environment, the ED culture has gone so far off a cliff I completely get someone graduating from residency, working a few months, then realizing that if they do this for 10-15 years they might actually put a gun to their head

It wasn't the day-to-day that got me, it was the realization "this is permanent, and probably just going to get worse"

My job satisfaction in the ED was between 1-2%

Running the appeals/payor negotiations for my system is like a satisfaction of 96-97%

I could do this FT for decades. But I'm probably going to pay off my house next year once my fixed 2.5% rate goes away and switches to variable and once I pay off house I'll probably go 0.5 or .75 FTE. Not for burnout reasons, but for life-enjoyment reasons. There's just so much other stuff I'd rather do than work
 
I see many more mid-career docs that are trapped in lifestyle than young docs.

One of the docs in my old group has a stay at home wife

4 kids

400k in med school debt

bought a McMansion for 1.2M

Then bought into partnership for $250K

He is chained to the ED until he dies, which if he gets divorced, likely sooner than later
 
Hey easy now. I’m scaling back to 0.8 FTE at 5 years out to spend more time with my wife and young/baby kids and I’ll still be building $150k/yr in equity. Granted my wife works full time (non physician 9-5). If you can swing it, why not?

Though maybe you are talking about literally RIGHT out of residency which is insane. The full-time attending schedule is a dream compared to residency.

I think if you can truly save that much every year and stay disciplined about it while working 0.8FTE then everything should turn out just fine.
 
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You old timers lived through the good days of medicine and got to enjoy the longest bull run from 2009 to now.

I wish i had money in 2009 and wasn’t broke and eating ramen noodles.
Oh I was broken in 09-10 more beans than ramen. If I’d had more than a cent when I finished residency I would have bought in our first neighborhood instead of renting and would have flipped that for triple years ago.

It still works out. As long as we don’t get a long ass bear cycle.
 
You old timers lived through the good days of medicine and got to enjoy the longest bull run from 2009 to now.

I wish i had money in 2009 and wasn’t broke and eating ramen noodles.
Same. Graduated residency in 2022. Though honestly with the way that wealth inequality is going, there’s a decent chance the 2042 grads will be saying that same thing about us.
 
Hey easy now. I’m scaling back to 0.8 FTE at 5 years out to spend more time with my wife and young/baby kids and I’ll still be building $150k/yr in equity. Granted my wife works full time (non physician 9-5). If you can swing it, why not?

Though maybe you are talking about literally RIGHT out of residency which is insane. The full-time attending schedule is a dream compared to residency.
Right out of residency is poor form. Keep running 3-5yr and get that debt gone and compounding nest egg going.

After that if you can save 150k you’re golden. Work as little as you desire.
 
Same. Graduated residency in 2022. Though honestly with the way that wealth inequality is going, there’s a decent chance the 2042 grads will be saying that same thing about us.

Well

that would be horrific to think about their situation

doing locums for $100/hr

"You guys used to make $300/hr!"