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It is now possible to call or email to determine your position on the waitlist, and thus SDNers should be able to know in general where they stand.
I emailed Barbara Watts, and her response included the following description of how the waiting list operates:
There is a poll here and hopefully y'all can reply to this thread with regards to new waitlist information. I have included the buttons for 'accepted', 'high waitlist', and 'rejected' just so those people don't throw a fit, but it seems from previous posts that people are most interested in the tier 1-3 crowd.
I emailed Barbara Watts, and her response included the following description of how the waiting list operates:
Group 1 is very small. There is no guarantee, but based on outcomes in recent years,
there is a strong probability of acceptance for applicants in this group, probably before
the end of June.
Group 2 is slightly larger than Group 1, but still relatively small. In an "average" year
(statistically average), Group 2 applicants have a very realistic possibility of
acceptance. Again, acceptance is not guaranteed, but applicants in this group should
expect to know more about their status by mid-June.
Group 3 is the largest and least predictable group. About half of the time, we reach
Group 3 and about half the time, we don't. In some years, we get more deeply into Group
3, but this won't be known until mid-June. In short, Group 3 outcomes vary considerably
from year to year, but the situation is not completely unrealistic for applicants in this
group..
There is a poll here and hopefully y'all can reply to this thread with regards to new waitlist information. I have included the buttons for 'accepted', 'high waitlist', and 'rejected' just so those people don't throw a fit, but it seems from previous posts that people are most interested in the tier 1-3 crowd.

