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Conclusion
A particularly brutal market downturn in early retirement can devastate your portfolio and threaten your freedom. However, there are certainly ways to mitigate the risk. I recommend that you target a 3% withdrawal rate, maintain reasonable but not excessive equity exposure (60-80%), consider a several year cash cushion, pursue a low-stress side gig in retirement, and cut spending in a market downturn. If you can do those things, you will have a very high likelihood of maintaining your freedom in retirement.
Remember, It’s Not About the Money; It’s About the Freedom
Don't Lose Your Freedom: Mitigating Sequence of Returns Risk - Live Free MD
A particularly brutal market downturn in early retirement can devastate your portfolio and threaten your freedom. However, there are certainly ways to mitigate the risk. I recommend that you target a 3% withdrawal rate, maintain reasonable but not excessive equity exposure (60-80%), consider a several year cash cushion, pursue a low-stress side gig in retirement, and cut spending in a market downturn. If you can do those things, you will have a very high likelihood of maintaining your freedom in retirement.
Remember, It’s Not About the Money; It’s About the Freedom
Don't Lose Your Freedom: Mitigating Sequence of Returns Risk - Live Free MD