226 on NBME 12 and 260 on UWSA2 1 day later???

[anonymous56]

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This is really a continuation of my other thread on the front page where there is a large discrepany between my nbme scores and uwrld qbank average. im averaging 74-76% in uworld qbank with random unused and timed on 1st pass. My scores have been as follows.

Nbme 15 -214, 1 month ago
Nbme 11 - 231, 1.5 weeks ago
Nbme 12 - 226, yesterday
UWSA2 - 260, TODAY

Im so lost as to where im really at. Any thoughts?

 

[Goober11]

For where your NBMEs are at UWSA2 is a useless predictor. Sorry, if that comes off harsh but that is just the result of my own frustration with SA 2. UWSA2 starts nailing people's scores when they are in the 250s-60s.

 

[anonymous56]

Can you e plain more about what you mean

 

[coolforschool]

Can you e plain more about what you mean

NBMEs are more predictive of your Step score than the UWSAs, especially if you're not hitting 250+ on the NBMEs. That's the SDN consensus, so you're probably at a 225-230 level rather than a 260 level, or perhaps somewhere in between.

 

[Goober11]

Some people also just do better on UW questions as well. You seem to be the type that does considering the disparity between your excellent UW percentages and 220ish NBME scores. The thought is those in such a situation might be over-thinking NBME questions which tend to be more straightforward and less circuitous like UW questions.

 

[Phloston]

The NBMEs are specific but not sensitive (i.e. they show some false-negatives, so sometimes people who get lower NBMEs perform better on the real deal). The UWSAs are sensitive but not specific (i.e. they tend to over-predict mid-range scorers, leading to false-positive high scores). So there's both good and "bad" news.

The bad news is that you are most likely sitting around the average of NBMEs 11+12. If you are a "false-negative case," you will perform better on the real deal, but it likely won't be by more than 10 points.

The good news is that the UWSAs, although they tend to over-predict, have shown some accuracy in predicting scores 260+.

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Instead of trying to draw conclusions, sit the rest of the NBMEs and UWSA2.

 

[anonymous56]

This **** is so discouraging