Anesthesia competitiveness predictions

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Adcadet

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I'm wondering if people would like to speculate about the competitiveness of anesthesia programs in the next 4-8 years. From what I've seen, anesthesia has had some pretty big variations in its competitiveness, and I'm curious if people think that the current level of interest will continue or fall back down to levels seen a few years ago.
 
our program director thinks that the current hot job market will probably last another 3 years and then start to normalize as more and more residents are coming out of training programs to off-set the steady number of MD retirees.
 
As far as for attaining a spot somewhere, it seems that the 2003 match is a good indication of the future competiveness of anesthesiology. It seems that with ~ 1,300 spots, nearly all US applicants (MD/DO) and some US-IMGs will find a spot if they cast wide.
 
I just thought I would throw this out there and see what others have observed. I have been rotating in Maine and now I am currently at Mayo in Rochester. I am stunned that I have not run into any students during my away rotations that are interested in Anesthesiology. I thought for sure I would see other students who were applying. I have found many interested in ER. I know in my class there were many interested in gas and now only three of us are still applying for gas spots. What have others found on away rotations? I guess we won't know what this year will bring until our ERAS applications go out.
 
At Finch we have about 4-6 who are seriously interested in anesthesiology. There are tons of ER and radiology wannabes. I would guess about 40 total. A good number of surgery and ortho as well. Of course, a huge number of pediatrics, FP, and IM.
 
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