i used to work at a hedge fund and trade stocks
throw you money in a few diversified ETFs and let it be ... if trading was actually productive, you'd be on wall street banging out millions 😎
weak economy + inflation creeping up = uh oh
glad i decided to switch into healthcare
Thanks, that's my take too. As a Chicago finance guy, I'd mostly take the tact that if there was easy $$ to be made, they hedge fund guys or arbs or fund managers with billions to control would have scooped it up.
Unless you have their access to data & contacts, I'd go with diversified index funds split between S&P 500, Wilshire 4500, international (as broad as possible, definitely NOT something like a Japanese tech stock fund, preferably a "far east fund" or similar) and corporate bond fund to hedge a bit. Possibly gold, too, as this tends to negatively correlate with the market.
Only exceptions would be:
1) person has insider info. But then again, is it worth trading on it?
2) small public companies, theoretically one could find a firm too small for the bulge bracket guys to mess around with.
3) very large portfolio; if one invests directly in stock, the investor can control when capital gains are taken rather than the fund deciding this for you.
Fun to follow the markets, in my opinion. I always get a kick out of those ads about how an investor can make a fortune investing in forwards or other options in which the investor actually takes on the risk of delivering the contract.