There's 0 data available. No clue. Some good anecdotes, more bad anecdotes. Among the people I know, it's about 50/50 for matching with a range from people matching Derm to people missing on Urology, which didn't fill. God help you if you're more than 3 years out, because anywhere you interviewed at has completely changed their staff. All the folks I know who matched were less than a year out of internship.
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