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I've def read and participated in dozens of those threads, but we're talking about dozens in a sea of tens of thousands of people per year. The matriculating student questionnaire shows that only 20% of people get multiple MD admits. In most cases it will be 2 comparable options like getting into two instate campuses or two mid tier private schools. The group that are weighing huge merit packages against top 20 names are outliers.Dude, there are dozens of threads like this every year in School X versus Y; it's more common than you think. Intuitively I'm sure you can grasp that of those with multiple acceptances, many will have a more well-known choice, and some will decline that choice. People choose less prestigious schools all of the time for a variety of reasons, like money, proximity to a support system, or just overall fit. The prospect of P/F Step 1 is another factor worth considering, and being blind to this when making that decision isn't fair to the class of 2023.
Bobby who went to U of State undergrad and wants to remain at U of State for med school and residency and practice IM in a local city, well those are a huge proportion of the matriculants every year but they aren't the people who go on College Confidential or SDN. They don't need to, because there's no hypercompetitive obstacles in their path that they need to learn success formulas for.