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Ok Boomer... (/jk)Risk reward is what matters at the end of the day. 20-30 yrs ago when CMGs had minimal penetration and insurance paid fairly, the rewards greatly outweighed the risk.
Now, the pendulum has swung the other way. The rewards are small and the risk are great. Imaging starting a SDG. Every time a new CEO comes in or your group doesn't do exactly what the CEO wants, you could have all the work/contract taken away. If the insurance company just wants to shut down a SDG, they could just delay payments for 6 months. With delayed payments, the SDG would have to go into debt or cut salary to NP rates. Most docs would flee getting paid $100/hr.
Anyone would be quite dumb to start a SDG esp in a major city where you have a target on your back. Do it in a rural area where CMGs want no part of it and you can have a sustainable model.
The problem with this argument is that the risks of not joining an SDG (let's be honest here, no one is starting any) are far greater than they were 20-30 years ago. Take a job w/ a CMG, and in a few years, you'll be making NP wages, seeing 3 pph in WR recliners and preparing to be served with your 4th suit in the past few years (all for patients whose care you were nominally involved in as a 'supervising' physician), not to mention practicing in a toxic environment where you can lose your job at any moment over a dissatisfied customer, despite having to work within the constrains of hospital policies and initiatives seemingly designed to ensure that no patient is satisfied.