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Biggest cuts will be imaging/procedure heavy specialties. Radiology, cardiology, orthopedics, radiation oncology, are on the chopping block. Every procedural specialty will take a hit.
Could you elaborate on this? Why exactly are they going to take a hit?
This could be the subject of a very important research paper. Like you said, it's always hard to predict what the salaries will be. However, based on the new health insurance law, some other government programs, and trends in insurance, you could probably come up with some fairly good theoretical numbers. I would be interested in the results.
Cards already has taken a big hit.
I'm having a hell of a time finding projections on slices to physician specialty compensation in the near future (5-10 years). I'm interested in hearing which specialties will receive the most cuts in reimbursements, and which will remain same and/or increase. Understandably, given our american economy I can't imagine any prediction has much validity but it would be nice to hear and factor into specialty picking.