Compensation Predictions

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This could be the subject of a very important research paper. Like you said, it's always hard to predict what the salaries will be. However, based on the new health insurance law, some other government programs, and trends in insurance, you could probably come up with some fairly good theoretical numbers. I would be interested in the results.
 
Biggest cuts will be imaging/procedure heavy specialties. Radiology, cardiology, orthopedics, radiation oncology, are on the chopping block. Every procedural specialty will take a hit.
 
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Biggest cuts will be imaging/procedure heavy specialties. Radiology, cardiology, orthopedics, radiation oncology, are on the chopping block. Every procedural specialty will take a hit.

Could you elaborate on this? Why exactly are they going to take a hit?
 
This could be the subject of a very important research paper. Like you said, it's always hard to predict what the salaries will be. However, based on the new health insurance law, some other government programs, and trends in insurance, you could probably come up with some fairly good theoretical numbers. I would be interested in the results.

I doubt it would be more accurate than trying to predict the stock market 10 years from now (not accurate at all).

Who knows what new high paying procedures will become bread/butter, who knows what politicians will do with health care funding, etc...

There are so many variables which can't be easily predicted.


The only "generally accepted trend" is high paying specialties will continue to be cut and primary care will continue to get an increase/keep up with inflation.
 
I'm having a hell of a time finding projections on slices to physician specialty compensation in the near future (5-10 years). I'm interested in hearing which specialties will receive the most cuts in reimbursements, and which will remain same and/or increase. Understandably, given our american economy I can't imagine any prediction has much validity but it would be nice to hear and factor into specialty picking.

Nobody knows. If you could know these kinds of things in the future, there would be no reason to work in medicine. Go into finance and make your billions.

Assuming current trends continue, procedure reimbursement will go down and evaluation and management will go up. Specialties that make the most will make less, specialties that make the least will make more.

This is assuming things stay the same, the difficulty in predicting the future usually is because things don't stay the same.
 
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