Do you think that you have a better grasp on this than the EM physicians that are telling you the opposite of what you are saying?
What do you make of the (long apparent but recently publicized) 9k EM oversupply by 2030?
What do you make of the decreased locums positions in the last 5 years?
What do you make of the continued adoption of midlevels in EM?
What do you make of the private equity funded residencies in EM?
And as another poster mentioned, how can you possibly think it is reasonable to equate primary care physicians, who can work in a ton of different settings, with EM physicians, who can work in relatively few settings? The total number of physicians in a specialty is only important in the context of the total demand for that specialty. EM has less demand than primary care doctors.
And to address a thought I hear from people like you sometimes, that "EM physicians will still be paid a lot regardless"- well, maybe. But when you look at how much they're bringing in for the hospital compared with their (likely to decline) salaries, corporations are increasingly profiting from their work. That's wrong, and it speaks to the lack of EM physician power. It also makes EM less viable/less responsible of a career choice in the context of increasing student debt.