DO schools, especially the one I got accepted into, are expensive.
Postponing school by one year is an automatic -$239,000 (one year salary as a family doctor)
(Income Offered to Top 20 Recruited Specialties - Family Medicine - 2019 REVIEW OF PHYSICIAN AND ADVANCED PRACTITIONER RECRUITING INCENTIVES by Merritt Hawkins).
Not only are they expensive but with Step 1 being pass/fail the year I would take it but they historically have very unorganized 3/4th years. The P/F change is going to be a big F U to DO students across the board.
Maybe, maybe not. These are the top 5 parameters used by PDs to assess applicants:
USMLE Step 1/COMLEX Level 1 score (used by 94%, with an average importance of 4.1/5)
Letters of recommendation in the specialty (used by 86%, with an average importance of 4.2/5)
Medical Student Performance Evaluation (MSPE/Dean's Letter) (used by 81%, with an average importance of 4.0/5)
USMLE Step 2 CK/COMLEX Level 2 CE score (used by 80%, with an average importance of 4.0/5)
Personal Statement (used by 78%, with an average importance of 3.7/5)
Usually, changes to a multi-variate system don't occur in a vacuum. Smart money's on Step 2 replacing Step 1 as the big screener.
As a caveat, I agree the P/F change is bad for DOs.
(Page 3, NRMP Program Director Survey Results, 2018)
All of the uncertainty of the DO schools makes me want to go retake my MCAT, which I did not do great on and try to reapply to more MD schools next cycle and hope for the best.
The average retake increase is 3 points for students with an original score of 501.
The error bars are fairly large and I have personally met someone who went from 500 to 520 - this isn't to say that you can't have a successful retake. I just want to point out that, statistically, the retake is not likely to boost you into the 80th %ile.
AAMC's Using MCAT® Data in 2019 Medical Student Selection
(Page 11, https://www.aamc.org/system/files/c/2/462316-mcatguide.pdf)
The drawback to that is I am 27 and medical school is not getting any shorter. I just want to start the path to my career but I do not want to be shooting myself in the foot in the process.
Thank you for your service!
Deciding on a medical school, and your application strategy, is a deeply personal decision. I think it's wholly fair to be concerned about the impact of P/F Step 1 (as am I - I'll be matriculating to a DO school this summer). To me, it was not worth foregoing the acceptances.