yes, which is why I said "ballpark". 2:1 is pretty typical from what I've heard directors mention, and it's a fairly conservative estimate which makes it safer than assuming something like 3:1. I doubt very few programs do much better than 2:1 for their yield.
- some schools only accept to ~ the class size at first and then go to the waitlist to fill declined spots later, which makes estimating a little fuzzier
- some schools offer additional non-MSTP funding, such that their reported MSTP class size does not completely reflect number of fully-funded MD-PhD students
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