- Joined
- Dec 2, 2011
- Messages
- 1,488
- Reaction score
- 3,012
I can’t give you a number but in my experience clinical context matters. Someone with a biochemical recurrence 3 years after surgery and a modest PSA doubling time almost certainly doesn’t have multi focal macroscopic bone Mets. If something doesn’t make sense clinically I do biopsy before drastically changing therapy.This is my big concern with all the molecular imaging data is that I am not aware of any series doing a thorough evaluation of positive predictive value and radiologic/pathologic correlation study before just treating it as gospel.
For example, the false positive rate of PET in vulvar cancer in inguinal LNs (25% of PET avid inguinal LNs will actually be negative on lymph node dissection). What percentage of F18 (or PSMA) PET positive inguinal LNs in prostate cancer are actually negative on path evaluation? What percentage of F18/PSMA PET positive in the ribs, the spine, the soft tissues, whatever, are false positives on path evaluation?
All that said, I got a shocker a couple months back. Guy had a biochemical relapse with a PSA of 1 and PET showed an RP node and RUL nodule that was hot. Something like 20% of NSCLCs express PSMA and I was sure he had a lung primary but alas, biopsy showed prostate cancer. SBRT to both with complete biochemical response as of last week. He will progress eventually but he’s happy for now.
I would say the specificity for pelvic and RP nodes is probably pretty good. I do a fair bit of focal salvage and in those setting I can’t recall a single time I didn’t get a good (at least initial) biochemical response in the absence of concurrent progression.