You have too many reach schools. You could add these schools:
Arizona (Phoenix)
California University
TCU
St Louis
Rosalind Franklin
Western Michigan
Medical College Wisconsin
Hofstra
New York Medical College
Albany
Temple
Hackensack
1. UA Phoenix, yes! Oregon, Utah, etc., probably not. You should look at MSAR for OOS rates before adding these.
2. You have a lot of reaches already... You should consider the schools that Faha mentioned before tacking these on
3. No one can answer this, unfortunately. FWIW, I know far more UC graduates/CA residents who ended up going OOS for med school than those who stayed in state 🤷♀️