According to the New York Times, "the government has made commitments of about $12.2 trillion and spent $2.5 trillion but also has collected more than $10 billion in dividends and fees"
2,500,000,000,000 losses vs. 10,000,000,000 gains...Great deal for the government!
The reason why TARP hasn't worked is that it hasn't solved anything:
1. The banks were too big to fail...TARP solution: make them bigger
2. Too many toxic assets were on the books...TARP solution: change accounting standards and hide those assets from investors/public
3. Banks took too many risks and used too much leverage...TARP solution: give the same banks government backing so they can create a new crisis a few years later
4. Bonuses reach pre-crisis levels...TARP solution: tax the banks but do nothing about the bonuses, which encourage excessive risk taking
5. Housing market still sucks...it is being artificially propped up by an 8,000 tax credit and Fannie/Freddie underwriting risky loans
WTF?
If things go badly, remember this: our government has committed to printing TRILLIONS of dollars to paper over this reality.