Trying to predict things post-merger is like trying to predict who will win the 2020 presidential election. Exactly the same number of DO schools have opened over the past 10 years as have MD schools.
Right now there are still more residency slots than med school grads to fill them. Even if we open TEN new MD and DO schools each, there will still be slots open. Keep in mind that AOA residencies are only ~1/10th of the total pool.
Will they be the slots you want? Not necessarily. But I'll bet at first, all of you wanted to go to Harvard and UCSF too.
Currently some 2/3rd of DOs go into Primary Care. Only about 20% of MDs do the same. I foresee this trend will stay the same for the foreseeable future (but be leery of
ALL SDNers who claim the gift of prophesy). MUCOM and IU are quite happy with this arrangement in the state of IN. The stated goal of the AOA is to train primary care clinicians. My advice for those of you who want to be "ologists" is to do well in school, ace USMLE, and do even better in your clinical years.
Medical education in the US is an evolving process. At one time, surgeons were not considered to be physicians. This is still reflected in the name of the med school run by Columbia U.
Also keep in mind that the Baby Boom generation of clinicians will be retiring or dying off soon. Somebody has to fill their shoes!
The majority of my students, due to geography, go into ACGME residencies. Being DOs doesn't hurt them. I also see glass doors once shut not slowly opening, not just for my kids, but for grads of other established DO schools as well.
So the sky is not falling. Does the AOA shoot itself in the foot with opening schools that don't have good rotation sites? Yes. Will you have to work harder? yes. But you're afraid of hard work, are you? In many ways, DO residents are like African-Americans at the end of segregation. The downside to the DO degree is the prejudice that residency directors have towards DOs. This isn't universal, but the higher up the speciality competitiveness tree you climb, the greater it will be. So, if you screw up as a DO, the thinking will be "
well, that's a DO for you". But if you screw up as an MD, it's
"boy, that guy is an idiot."
So with all the new DO schools opening around the US, I'm wondering what the impact will be for DOs and DO students post merger?
I'm thinking it will be harder to obtain residencies for DO students than it was 5 years ago due to increased competition from students from the new schools. Thoughts?