Medical I retook the MCAT and my score went down - what does this mean for my medical school chances?

[Catalystik]

Hi There- I retook the MCAT and it went down 2 points. I'm really at a loss here as I was planning to apply this year. I just don't want to retake it and have it further go down. Given this are my chances for MD medical school shot?

cGPA: 3.5 / sGPA: 3.3 (upward trend and a grade deflating school - but I'm not sure this matters)
MCAT: 127/126/126/130 (retake)
MCAT: 127/127/127/130 (first time)
Research with publication as second author
Community Health Medicine Research
200+ hospital volunteer
President of community service club
75+ shadowing
ORM

Given the data from AAMC past applicant success rates, chances were about 40% for an acceptance with the same stats. You can see ethnicity-based graphs here (see graph #6, your MCAT score translates into about a 30 on the Y-axis): SDN Success Rate Charts - 2017 Edition

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[Goro]

do NOT retake!
I suggest the following:
Miami
TCU/UNT
Tufts
George Washington
Georgetown
Albany
Rush
Rosy Franklin
NYMC
MCW
VCU
EVMS
Wayne State
Wake Forest
Netter
Jefferson
Temple
Drexel
Creighton
Tulane
Loyola
Uniformed Services University/Hebert (just be aware of the military service commitment)
Oakland-B
Seton Hall
Nova MD
CUSM IF you're from CA
Kaiser if you’re from CA
Your state school.

Invest in MSAR and remove all schools where you GPAs are < their 10th %iles.

Any DO program. I can't recommend Touro-NY, Nova, Wm Carey, LUCOM, for different reasons. MSUCOM? Read up on Larry Nasser and you decide. LMU has an accreditation warning, which concerns me.

as a 2x MCAT taker whose score went down, and with weak GPAs, you need DO schools on the list.

 

[gyngyn]

These are statistically identical scores. The optics are bad, though.
Go ahead and apply as if you had the average of the two scores.
Don't forget your state publics.