🙁 Hello all!
i had 15 interviews for FP and am an IMG. my step scores were in the early 80s', one being a second attempt. i'm worrying to death that despite these 15 interviews, my chances for matching are nill.
P.S: last yr i had 5 interviews and didn't match.
should i loose all hope and just jump off a bridge?
plz ........someone...........plz.........show me some light!!!
here's some math i put into another thread:
Let's say your chance of matching into either one of your time 5 choices is 15% to each program.
Meaning chance of matching to #1 = 15%
#1 or #2 = (1-0.15)^2 = 28%
#1, #2 or #3 = 39%
#1 - #4 = 48%
#1 - #5 = 56%
So the chances of matching into your top 5 isn't 15% x 5, but actually less.
If we use 20% chance of matching then its looks a little better:
#1 = 20%
#1 or #2 - 36%
#1-#3 - 49%
#1-#4 - 59%
#1-#5 - 67%
Then you ask yourself what is the independent probability that I will match at program X. Assuming they haven't offered you a spot and there are not agreements between you or your school and the program or the pd, then this is what you consider
1) How many people do they interview per spot?
-lets say the answer is 10 - then everyone has an equally 10% chance of matching there
2) How many of those students wont rank this program highly or rank it at all and probably wont end up there
-lets say 2/10 - so then our odds edge up to 12.5%
3) Out of those 8 people per spot left how many are "worse candidates" than me in other words where am I on the ladder (based on school name, lors, grades, usmle's, and likeability)?
-I am not sure how to factor this into the equation numerically but you can estimate whether you are competetive to your field and whether the interview likely moved you up or down...
Any way good luck