Which polls are these? Last I saw, Obama is within 10 electoral votes of an outright win without counting to 80 or so votes in battleground states. Basically, if he gets one of those states, ANY of those states, it's done.
That may happen by 9 p.m. EST.
Where are you getting a 10 vote
deficit?
344 - 193:
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ (some left bias, but methodologically by far the best tracker)
311 - 142 with 85 tossup:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ (some right bias)
375 - 157 with 7 tied:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Right-leaning sites like Fox News and Drudge cherrypick national polls for their headlines, when they should be ignoring the Kansases (Kansasese? Kansi?) and Californias and looking at Virginia and Ohio and Florida and Colorado and Pennsylvania ... or even North Carolina or Missouri. This election is not close if you look at an EV map.
But a "close" election and good underdog story makes the news exciting, so it leads.
Polls tighten in every election during the last week, as the undecided share shrinks. But even as McCain has (probably but not certainly) picked up a point or two nationally, the odds of him closing the rest of the distance shrink. McCain's out of time. He needed to catch up a month ago. Instead we got Joe the Plumber and
BobTito the Builder, and whatever that chick from Alaska felt like doing on any given day, while McCain kept shifting gears on his unicycle while playing clown music for the circus.
The only questions remaining in this election are
- Will Obama win comfortably, or by a 100+ EV landslide
- Will McCain lose with dignity and grace (magic 8 ball says yes)
- Will Palin lose with dignity and grace (magic 8 ball says no)
- Will the Democrats get a 60 seat majority in the Senate (probably not, even counting those two Independents)
- Will the Republicans riot over a loss, blaming voter fraud and ACORN (probably not; Dems are the rioting types, Repubs are the tense quiet teeth-gnashing angry seethers who go clean their AR15s one more time)
Barring an assassination, the presidential election is done.
Perhaps even more disappointing than McCain's horrific campaign is the denial amongst the faithful, who seem to think the party isn't broken, that the campaign failed because of that durn liberal media, and that McCain is making a comeback. McCain should be campaigning in areas where he might help House/Senate candidates in close elections, not wasting his time in Pennsylvania. He's going down in flames, denial and attack 'til the end, when he could be trying to shore up his party in the Senate.
In related election news, I'm going order an AR15 today. Always wanted one, and since they'll be more expensive next Wednesday and banned by February, it's time to get one. My brother's trying to talk me out of buying a ".22 varmint-shooting gun" and get a Kalashnikov. I'm dubious. My wife says we should get both. So ... off to the anesthesiology gun threads.